Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+162) Philadelphia (-196)
Citizens Bank Park will host an exciting game as the Philadelphia Phillies (61-47) face off against the Baltimore Orioles (50-59) this Monday. The betting odds place the Orioles at +162 while the Phillies are at -196, with the total set at 8.5 runs. Starting pitchers for the contest are Brandon Young and Jesus Luzardo.
As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 13th in Major League Baseball. With a total of 482 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .309, the Orioles have achieved 182 doubles and hit 136 home runs this season. They boast 456 RBIs and 896 hits, resulting in a batting average of .245. Baltimore’s slugging percentage stands at .413, having struck out 936 times while drawing 299 walks.
Explore all our MLB Betting Predictions
The Orioles’ pitching staff holds a collective earned run average (ERA) of 4.89, ranking them 27th in the league, and they have struck out 889 batters. The pitching unit has allowed 153 home runs and 549 runs overall, also placing 27th. With 363 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.57. On the season, they’ve surrendered 992 hits (an average of 9.3 per nine innings) and 521 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.41.
The Orioles’ bullpen has faced opponents with runners on base 113 times and entered 113 high-pressure situations. They have recorded 76 holds so far, which ranks them second in the league. Their save rate is at 65.0%, having played in 119 save situations with 26 successful saves against 14 blown saves. This season, the bullpen has inherited 151 base runners, with 19.9% scoring against them. A total of 378 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Baltimore this year.
Baltimore has converted 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs during 8,625 innings, placing them 29th in professional baseball. They have recorded 2,875 putouts, 957 assists, and 57 errors, with a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 20th overall. This season, they have completed 78 double plays.
Brandon Young has pitched 36 innings in his career, striking out 34 batters. He has an ERA of 6.71 (allowing 27 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.713. He has surrendered 46 hits (11.4 per nine innings) and issued 16 walks, boasting a win-loss record of 0-5 and a FIP of 6.61 after facing 166 major league hitters.
The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 126 home runs alongside 481 RBIs this year. They have recorded 174 doubles, 370 walks, and scored 504 runs, resulting in an on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .254. The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .412, averaging 4.67 runs per game (ranked 9th). They’ve struck out 862 times (20th in baseball) and achieved a total of 935 hits.
Philadelphia’s WHIP stands at 1.258 with a FIP of 3.70 this season. Their pitching staff is ranked 18th in terms of total hits allowed, yielding 901. They have allowed 437 runs with a team ERA of 3.80 (406 earned runs). The K/BB ratio is an impressive 9.30 (993 strikeouts versus 308 walks), and they have conceded 118 home runs while allowing 4.09 runs per nine innings (9th in baseball).
The Phillies’ bullpen has inherited runners at a rate of 32.7% from a total of 104 inherited runners this year. Their relievers have faced high-leverage situations 111 times and have come into play 72 times with base runners. Out of 93 save opportunities, Philadelphia has recorded 48 holds and experienced 17 blown saves. With a save percentage of 61.4%, they rank 18th in the league, having utilized 334 relief pitchers throughout the season. They have secured 27 saves from 44 save chances.
The Philadelphia Phillies have executed 72 double plays and maintain a .989 fielding percentage, which ranks third in the league. They have made 924 assists, committed 41 errors, and achieved 2,884 putouts this season. With a defensive efficiency of 68.8% over 8,652 innings played, they currently sit at 24th in MLB.
Jesus Luzardo, during his career, has allowed 583 hits while accumulating 699 strikeouts over 633 innings. His pitching stats feature 302 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.275, and a FIP of 4.2. With a K/BB ratio of 3.12 and having faced 2,663 batters thus far, Luzardo holds a career record of 35-39 and an ERA of 4.29, averaging 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in this evening’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (-196)
Claim $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No strings attached. No salesman. No credit card required. Instant access – Sign Up Now!
Source link
