New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Forecast, 8/4/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

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Matchup: New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers

Event Date: Monday, August 4, 2025

Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Broadcast: Rangers Sports Network

Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-122) Texas Rangers (+102)

The New York Yankees (60-49) are set to visit Globe Life Field this Monday in a bid to overcome the Texas Rangers (57-53). Current betting odds place the Yankees at -122 while the Rangers sit at +102, with an over/under of 9 runs. Starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Nathan Eovaldi.

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The Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .452, having struck out 957 times while also drawing 414 walks. With 541 RBIs and 935 hits this season, their batting average stands at .252. The team has managed 183 doubles and 174 homers, accumulating 564 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .332. On average, the Yankees generate 5.2 runs per game, ranking 3rd in the league.

Defensively, the Yankees hold an earned run average of 3.97 (17th in MLB) with their pitchers striking out 962 batters. They’ve allowed 121 home runs and a total of 465 runs (15th in the league). The pitching team has tallied 369 walks, maintaining a FIP of 3.99 for the season. New York’s pitching staff has allowed 831 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and given up 426 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.24.

In high leverage situations, Yankees relief pitchers have come into play 120 times and have made 105 appearances. With 61 holds to their credit (ranking 16th in MLB), the bullpen has achieved a 69.8% save percentage in 105 opportunities, converting 30 of 43 save situations, and allowing 25.7% of inherited runners to score. This season, the Yankees have used 360 relievers.

As a defense, the Yankees have recorded 2,897 putouts, 924 assists, and 59 errors, with a fielding percentage of .985, placing them 22nd in MLB. They have successfully turned 69 double plays and converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs over 8,691 innings, ranking 6th in the majors.

Max Fried (career record: 85-40) has a FIP of 2.97 and has faced 4,156 batters throughout his career. With 889 hits allowed (7.9 per nine innings) and 278 walks, he maintains an ERA of 3.01 (341 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.146. He has pitched 1,018 innings, notching 988 strikeouts.

The Texas Rangers currently have an on-base percentage of .300 and a batting average of .232 in the current season. With 916 strikeouts (15th in MLB), they have tallied 849 hits, including 116 home runs and 432 RBIs. The team’s slugging percentage sits at .377, averaging 4.11 runs per game (23rd in the league). Alongside 159 doubles, they have drawn 328 walks and scored 452 runs.

The Rangers’ pitching unit holds an ERA of 3.24, having yielded 386 runs this season with 351 earned runs allowed. They have surrendered 100 home runs and have an average of 3.56 runs allowed per 9 innings (1st in MLB). As a staff, they have a WHIP of 1.167 and a FIP of 3.66, holding a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.30 (896 strikeouts against 318 walks), ranking 2nd in the league for total hits allowed (821).

With 111 save opportunities, the Rangers have achieved 61 holds and have faced 19 blown saves. Their bullpen has pitched in 47 save situations, successfully converting 28 saves. Relief pitchers have made 122 appearances in high leverage scenarios and 112 with runners on base. Texas relievers have a 32.9% inherited run score percentage and are placed 20th in the league with a 59.6% save percentage. A total of 341 relief pitchers have been used this season.

On defense, the Rangers record a 72.1% efficiency (1st in MLB) with 86 double plays turned and a .991 fielding percentage (1st in league). They have accumulated 956 assists, 36 errors, and achieved 2,929 putouts this season.

In his career, Nathan Eovaldi has allowed 1,643 hits with 1,463 strikeouts over 1,675 innings pitched. He has given up 728 earned runs and maintains a WHIP of 1.258 plus a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.15, having faced 7,024 opponents in his professional career. Eovaldi holds a career record of 100-84 with a 3.91 ERA, allowing 8.8 hits per nine frames.

Who do you think will prevail in tonight’s MLB match spread or moneyline?

Expert Pick by Tony Sink: Bet on Texas (+102)

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