Matchup: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins
Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Houston (-182) Miami (+150)
This matchup features the Miami Marlins (52-55) squaring off against the Houston Astros (62-47) at loanDepot park on Monday. The moneyline for this game has Houston at -182 and Miami at +150, with a total set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers are expected to be Jason Alexander for Houston and Sandy Alcantara for Miami.
The Houston Astros have posted a slugging percentage of .405 this season, with 858 strikeouts compared to 316 walks. They have accumulated 451 RBIs and 946 hits, leading to a team batting average of .257. As a whole, the Astros have recorded 164 doubles and 120 home runs, scoring a total of 473 runs with an on-base percentage of .322. The Astros average 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 16th in Major League Baseball.
This year, the Astros boast an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.69 (8th in MLB), having recorded 1,057 strikeouts. The pitching staff has allowed 126 home runs and a total of 424 runs (6th in the league). With 325 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.74 currently. Houston’s pitchers have given up 830 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and logged 398 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.25 and the team WHIP is recorded at 1.19.
Astros’ relievers have entered with runners on base 75 times this season, making 109 high-leverage appearances. They have secured 68 holds (ranking 9th in MLB) and have a 73.9% save rate, converting 34 of 46 save opportunities. Notably, 26.9% of inherited runners from the bullpen have scored, with 338 relief appearances overall.
In the field, the Astros tallied 2,913 putouts, 850 assists, and committed 46 errors, holding a .988 fielding percentage (ranking 9th in MLB) and turning 69 double plays. With a conversion rate of 70.5%, they sit 11th among all MLB teams.
Jason Alexander, with a career record of 3-4, has a FIP of 5.89 from facing 445 batters. He has allowed 121 hits (11.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 42 walks. His ERA is recorded at 5.98, yielding 64 earned runs, and he has a career WHIP of 1.691. Over 96 innings pitched, he has struck out 66 hitters in the majors.
On the other hand, the Miami Marlins have hit 99 home runs while racking up 435 RBIs. They have achieved 182 doubles, drawn 315 walks, and scored a total of 453 runs this season. The team has a .314 on-base percentage and a batting average of .252. Miami’s slugging percentage is .393, averaging 4.23 runs per game, placing them 20th in the league. The Marlins have faced 841 strikeouts (25th in MLB) and amassed 921 hits overall.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 4.05. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.00 (843 strikeouts against 337 walks), ranking 19th in hits allowed (904 total). They’ve surrendered 111 home runs and allow 4.73 runs per game (24th in MLB), with a cumulative ERA of 4.36 (461 earned runs).
Miami’s bullpen has seen 105 save opportunities, converting on 27 saves while recording 60 holds and 17 blown saves. They have appeared 116 times in high-leverage situations and 84 times with runners on base. The bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 32.0% on 122 inherited runners, holding a 61.4% save rate, ranking 17th in MLB, with 336 total relief appearances this season.
In total, the Marlins’ defense has logged 8,571 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in baseball). They have made 76 double plays and hold a .985 fielding percentage (19th in MLB), with 939 assists, 56 errors, and 2,857 putouts recorded this season.
Sandy Alcantara, with a career record of 47-64, has allowed 882 hits and has achieved 870 strikeouts over 1,009 innings. His earned run average is 3.65, surrendering 7.9 hits per nine innings, with 409 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.186. With a FIP of 3.6, his K/BB ratio stands at 2.76 after facing 4,161 batters throughout his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off, covering the spread or moneyline?
Recommended Bet by Josh Schonwald: Go with Miami (+150)
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