Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Cleveland (+125) New York (-145)
The Cleveland Guardians (54-54) are set to take on the New York Mets (62-47) at Citi Field this Monday. The betting lines indicate the Guardians at +125 and the Mets at -145, with a total runs line of 8. The anticipated starting pitchers for this contest are Slade Cecconi and Sean Manaea.
The Guardians have a slugging percentage of .377, with 883 strikeouts and 350 walks this season. They’ve recorded 408 RBIs from 805 hits, leading to a batting average of .228. As a unit, they have accumulated 162 doubles and have launched 114 home runs. Cleveland averages 3.9 runs per game, ranking them 26th in the league.
Currently, the Guardians maintain a team ERA of 3.90, placing them 15th overall in the league, with 899 strikeouts. This season, Guardians pitchers have allowed 119 home runs and given up a total of 453 runs, ranking 11th in MLB. They have issued 383 walks, resulting in a team FIP of 4.14. Cleveland’s pitchers have delivered 875 hits (averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings) and have conceded 416 earned runs, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.31.
This season, Guardians relievers have faced runners on base 92 times and appeared in high-leverage situations 121 times. The bullpen has achieved 76 holds (3rd in the league) with a save conversion rate of 68.2%, out of 123 save opportunities, they have secured 30 saves, while missing 14 chances. So far, 128 inherited runners have taken the field, with 36.7% crossing home plate. Cleveland has utilized 360 relief pitchers this season.
The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 2,879 putouts this season with 891 assists and 70 errors. With a fielding percentage of .982, they stand 28th in professional baseball and have executed 85 double plays. As a collective, the Guardians have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs over 8,637 innings, ranking them 19th in MLB.
Slade Cecconi has pitched a total of 180 innings, achieving 147 strikeouts with an earned run average of 5.10 (allowing 102 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.294. He has permitted 190 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and issued 43 walks. With a career record of 7-12, Cecconi has faced 764 batters, earning a FIP of 5.02.
The New York Mets have a team slugging percentage of .409, averaging 4.34 runs per game (17th overall). They boast 173 doubles, 376 walks, and 473 RBIs. New York has hit 135 home runs this season and recorded 872 hits with a batting average of .241 and OBP of .319. The Mets have struck out 875 times (19th in baseball).
Mets pitchers lead the league with a WHIP of 1.311, and they maintain a FIP of 3.83. Their pitching staff is ranked 11th in total hits allowed with 872 and has yielded 430 runs this season, giving them a team ERA of 3.58 (with 384 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.60 (928 strikeouts to 394 walks) with 95 home runs allowed, yielding an average of 4.01 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).
The Mets’ bullpens have inherited 34.3% of the 178 base runners they’ve come across. They’ve appeared in high-leverage situations 134 times, with 118 appearances involving runners on base. Out of 124 save opportunities, the Mets have recorded 72 holds and blown 18 saves. Currently, they hold a 65.4% success rate on saves, having used 352 relief pitchers this season, with 34 saves out of 52 save situations.
The New York Mets have made 84 double plays this season and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in professional baseball), accumulating 989 assists, 50 errors, and 2,898 putouts over the season. In 8,694 innings played, their defensive efficiency is at 69.6% (17th in MLB).
Sean Manaea has a career win-loss record of 78-63 and has recorded a 3.98 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.34, having faced 5,001 batters throughout his professional career. With a WHIP of 1.197 and FIP of 3.90, Manaea has given up 531 earned runs and 1,099 hits, accumulating 1,131 strikeouts across 1,201 innings pitched.
Who will clinch the victory in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction by Tony Sink: Bet on Cleveland (+125)
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