- Matchup: Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Venue: Moody Coliseum, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: ACC Network
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On Saturday, the SMU Mustangs (14-5) will host the Florida State Seminoles (8-11) at Moody Coliseum.
In their previous matchup, the Florida State Seminoles edged out Miami with a narrow victory, finishing at 65-63. Florida State achieved a 45.3% success rate from the floor, converting 24 of 53 attempts, while also sinking 6 out of 17 from beyond the arc. They were effective from the free-throw line, making 11 of 15 for a 73.3% success rate. The Seminoles pulled down a total of 30 rebounds, including 4 offensive ones, alongside 13 assists, while forcing 14 turnovers and recording 12 steals. On defense, they allowed Miami to shoot 42.1% (24 of 57). Miami also tallied 15 assists and 7 steals, securing 28 rebounds (5 offensive, 23 defensive) without any blocks. They shot 73.3% from the free-throw line, hitting 11 of 15, and managed 4 of 16 from three-point range. Florida State ended the game with 15 personal fouls compared to Miami’s 13.
Robert McCray V proved to be pivotal in the contest, shooting 41.2% from the floor and racking up 4 assists in 31 minutes, scoring 20 points on 7 of 17 shooting.
This season, Florida State enters the game with an 8-11 record. They average 81.4 points per game (ranking 86th nationally) with a shooting percentage of 42.3% from the field. The Seminoles have maintained a three-point shooting success rate of 31.6% (202 of 639) and a free-throw percentage of 71.8%. Collectively, they average 36.6 rebounds per game and have totaled 282 assists this season, placing them 174th in the country for team assists. They turn the ball over about 12.7 times per game and commit an average of 19.4 personal fouls.
Defensively, the Seminoles generate an average of 15.4 turnovers per game while averaging 18.2 personal fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 33.7% from three-point territory and rank 325th nationwide in points per game allowed (80.4). Florida State concedes an opponent field goal percentage of 45.7% (527 of 1,153) and allows an average of 38.7 rebounds per game. They are also ranked 311th in assists surrendered, yielding 304 assists this season.
In their most recent game, the SMU Mustangs triumphed over Wake Forest with a final score of 91-79. In this matchup, SMU permitted Wake Forest 24 total rebounds (6 offensive). The Mustangs shot 50.0% from the field, going 32 of 64, and achieved 50.0% on three-pointers, making 14 of 28 attempts. They were also efficient from the line, hitting 13 of 18 free throws for a 72.2% conversion rate. SMU’s defense allowed Wake Forest to make 28 of 64 shots at a 43.8% rate. Wake Forest committed 17 fouls, resulting in 18 free throw attempts for SMU, who also recorded 8 steals in the game.
B.J. Edwards played a significant role for the Mustangs, scoring 24 points in 31 minutes and dishing out 7 assists. He shot 61.5%, making 8 of 13 attempts along with grabbing 8 rebounds.
SMU has a season record of 14-5. On the offensive side, they are making 49.7% of their field goal attempts, ranking 24th nationally. The team has accrued 1,662 points this season, averaging 87.5 per game. They secure about 38.4 rebounds per game and dish out assists 17.8 times per game, placing them 25th in the country, while averaging 11.8 turnovers. The Mustangs commit 17.3 fouls per game and boast a free-throw conversion rate of 77.0%.
The SMU defense limits opponents to a 32.1% three-point shooting rate (170 of 529) and allows 71.9% of free throws to be made against them. They average 16.2 assists allowed and 34.1 total rebounds per game, ranking them 333rd and 165th, respectively, in college basketball. On defense, SMU ranks 265th, giving up an average of 76.8 points per game, inducing 13.5 turnovers and allowing a 42.8% shooting rate from opponents (137th in Division I).
Who will take the win in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Florida State
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