Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Forecast, 8/5/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Forecast, 8/5/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

TV Channel: NESN

Betting Odds: Kansas City (+150) | Boston (-182)

The Kansas City Royals (56-56) are set to visit Fenway Park this Tuesday to face off against the Boston Red Sox (62-51). The moneyline for this matchup features the Royals at +150 and the Red Sox at -182. The total points line is set at 8. Pitchers expected to start are Ryan Bergert and Garrett Crochet.

MLB predictions for Boston Red Sox by Rob Refsnyder best bets odds

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The Royals are currently averaging 3.7 runs per game, placing them 29th in the league. They have tallied 411 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .300. The team has produced 199 doubles and hit 97 home runs this season, collecting 404 RBIs and a total of 913 hits, leading to a batting average of .243. Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .384 and has struck out 766 times while earning 272 walks.

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The Royals are impressive on the mound with a team ERA of 3.52, currently ranking 2nd in the league, having recorded 896 strikeouts throughout the season. They have allowed 114 home runs and given up 422 runs total, also 2nd in MLB. Fans should note their 340 walks and a collective FIP of 3.91. Kansas City’s pitchers have conceded 884 hits, culminating in an average of 8.0 hits per 9 innings, and have allowed 390 earned runs this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.64, with a WHIP of 1.23.

The Royals’ bullpen has entered games with base runners on 112 occasions and have faced high-pressure situations 122 times this season, accumulating 55 holds (ranked 22nd in MLB). Their current save percentage is 68.9%, having entered 101 save opportunities and successfully converted 31 saves while missing 14 chances. With 154 inherited runners, 29.9% have scored. Kansas City has deployed 371 relief pitchers this season.

The Houston Astros have tallied 2,992 putouts, alongside 996 assists and 49 errors, which gives them a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 8th in the league, including 84 double plays. The Royals have converted 71.2% of their chances into outs throughout 8,976 innings, placing them 5th in professional baseball.

Bergert (1-0 in his career) has a FIP of 2.77, facing 149 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 24 hits, translating to 6.1 hits per 9 innings, and issued 18 walks. His earned run average (ERA) is an impressive 2.81 (11 earned runs), with a career WHIP of 1.193. Over 35 innings pitched, Bergert has tallied 34 strikeouts.

The Red Sox have smacked 140 home runs this season, bringing in 537 RBIs, while recording 234 doubles. They’ve drawn 359 walks and scored 560 runs this year. Boston boasts an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .253, with a slugging percentage of .432. They average 4.96 runs per game, placing them 5th in the league, while also striking out 1,019 times, the 3rd highest in MLB, generating 983 total hits.

Boston’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 3.99. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.30 (933 strikeouts to 373 walks), and they rank 22nd in the league for total hits allowed (939). Having allowed 115 home runs, they give up 4.28 runs per 9 innings, ranking 15th in the league. This season, Boston’s pitchers have conceded 482 runs, achieving a team ERA of 3.70 (417 earned runs).

The Red Sox bullpen has been called into play for 53 save opportunities, successfully converting 31 saves, placing them at 22nd in the league with a 58.5% save percentage. They have used 369 different relief pitchers this season, with 141 appearances in high-pressure situations and 114 times with runners on base. Their inherited runner scoring rate is 32.0% from 150 inherited runners. In 118 save situations, they have achieved 63 holds but suffered 22 blown saves.

In 9,117 innings played, Boston’s defensive efficiency is at 68.9% (25th in MLB), turning 95 double plays with a .979 fielding percentage (29th in the majors). They have recorded 1,042 assists, made 87 errors, and achieved 3,039 putouts this season.

Garrett Crochet has allowed 296 hits in his MLB career, accumulating 469 strikeouts over 360 innings pitched. With a career record of 21-23, he holds a 2.87 ERA and permits 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 115 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.130 and a FIP of 2.8 with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.23, facing 1,476 batters so far.

Who do you believe will take home the win in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or on the moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Pick: Back Kansas City (+150)

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