Colorado State Rams vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction for College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 1/28/2026

Home » Colorado State Rams vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction for College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 1/28/2026

  • Matchup: Colorado State Rams vs San Diego State Aztecs
  • Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
  • Venue: Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The San Diego State Aztecs (14-5) are set to face off against the Colorado State Rams (12-8) at Viejas Arena on Wednesday.

College basketball predictions, best bets, Kyle Jorgensen, Colorado State Rams odds

The Colorado State Rams last played against Utah State, where they suffered a narrow defeat, finishing 65-61. The Rams showcased a shooting percentage of 51.2%, successfully making 22 of 43 field goals and 10 of 21 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, Colorado State converted 7 of 10 attempts, translating to a 70.0% success rate. They secured a total of 28 rebounds with 6 being offensive, and logged 16 assists while forcing their opponents into 10 turnovers and notching 5 steals. Defensively, Colorado State allowed their rivals to shoot 50.0% from the field (28 of 56). Utah State provided 15 assists and 11 steals throughout the match, along with capturing 22 rebounds (6 offensive, 16 defensive) without any blocks. The Aggies exhibited a free-throw accuracy of 80.0%, hitting 4 of 5 attempts while connecting on 5 out of 20 three-pointers. Colorado State committed 13 fouls compared to Utah State’s 15.

Kyle Jorgensen stood out as a key player, shooting 61.5% from the field with 2 assists, 5 rebounds, and a total of 24 points on 8 of 13 shooting in his 34 minutes on court.

With a record of 12-8 this season, Colorado State averages 77.9 points per game, ranking 150th nationally, while shooting 50.2% from the field. The Rams boast a three-point shooting percentage of 41.3% (210 of 509) and excel at the free-throw line with a rate of 76.8%. They average 33.1 rebounds per game, amassing 320 assists this season, placing them 90th in assist rankings. The team turns the ball over 12.0 times per game and averages 16.3 personal fouls.

Defensively, the Rams are forcing opponents into 10.0 turnovers each game while averaging 18.5 personal fouls. They rank 67th nationally in assists allowed, having surrendered 241 this season. Colorado State’s defense permits a shooting percentage of 45.0% (501 of 1,114) and averages 28.9 rebounds per game. They limit opponents to 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc and are ranked 111th in points allowed per game, giving up 70.9.

In their most recent game, the San Diego State Aztecs claimed victory over UNLV, winning 82-71. The Aztecs amassed 21 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive boards, totaling 23. They turned the ball over 13 times but recorded 7 steals. UNLV was called for 21 personal fouls, granting San Diego State 26 free-throw opportunities, of which they converted 22 for an 84.6% success rate. From three-point territory, San Diego State hit 8 of 13 attempts (61.5%). Overall, the Aztecs shot 56.5%, making 26 of 46 shots. UNLV managed to shoot 51.0%, making 26 of 51 attempts. The Aztecs struggled from beyond the arc, finishing at 33.3% with 7 of 21, and converted 12 of 22 free throws (54.5%). Defensively, San Diego State allowed UNLV to grab 23 rebounds, with 6 on the offensive end.

Miles Byrd was instrumental in this game for the Aztecs, hitting 7 of 8 shots for 87.5% accuracy, contributing 1 rebound, 23 points in 33 minutes, and 5 assists.

With a season record of 14-5, the Aztecs commit an average of 18.8 personal fouls per game while boasting a free-throw success rate of 75.1%. Their assist average stands at 16.3 (ranking 72nd in Division 1) and they turn the ball over 12.9 times per contest. San Diego State has scored a total of 1,545 points this season, averaging 81.3 points per game, along with 36.7 rebounds per game. Offensively, the Aztecs hold a shooting percentage of 48.1% from the field, ranking 48th nationally.

Defensive stats for the Aztecs show they are 132nd in the country in points given up per game (72.1). They manage to force 14.9 turnovers each game and allow teams to shoot 40.0% from the floor (29th in college basketball). Opposing teams shoot 33.3% on three-pointers against them (179 of 538), while they are conceding 74.4% at the free-throw line. San Diego State allows an average of 13.6 assists and 33.8 total rebounds per game, ranking 202nd and 149th in those categories defensively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back Colorado State

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Pick: Colorado State Rams
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