San Diego Toreros vs. St. Mary’s Gaels Prediction, College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 2/4/2026

Home » San Diego Toreros vs. St. Mary’s Gaels Prediction, College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 2/4/2026

  • Matchup: San Diego Toreros vs St. Mary’s Gaels
  • Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
  • Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The San Diego Toreros (10-14) will head to the University Credit Union Pavilion to challenge the St. Mary’s Gaels (19-4) this Wednesday.

College Basketball Predictions by Adrian McIntyre: Best Bets and Odds

In their most recent outing, the Toreros faced Oregon State, falling narrowly with a score of 78-76. San Diego recorded a field goal percentage of 43.3% (29 for 67) and made 9 out of 29 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, the Toreros were 9 of 12, achieving a 75.0% conversion rate. On the boards, they secured 36 rebounds, including 9 on the offensive end, while tallying 16 assists and forcing 16 turnovers with 12 steals. Defensively, the Toreros allowed Oregon State a shooting percentage of 40.3% from the field, with the opponent making 25 of 62 shots. Oregon State dished out 21 assists and registered 10 steals, while they grabbed 33 rebounds (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and shot 66.7% from the free-throw line, converting 18 of 27 attempts, alongside 10 of 26 from three-point range. The foul statistics showed San Diego committing 23 fouls compared to Oregon State’s 16.

Adrian McIntyre was a significant contributor for San Diego, finishing with 21 points on 7 of 12 shooting, a field goal rate of 58.3%, along with 6 assists and 6 rebounds during 29 minutes on the court.

As the Toreros enter this clash, they hold a seasonal record of 10-14. They average 76.8 points per game (ranked 177th) with a field goal percentage of 44.5%. Their three-point shooting stands at 34.4% (218 out of 633), alongside a free throw percentage of 77.1%. San Diego pulls down 32.8 rebounds per game and has accumulated 387 assists this season, ranking 32nd in Division 1 for team assists. They turn the ball over 13 times per game and commit an average of 18.3 fouls each outing.

Defensively, the Toreros create 14.5 turnovers per game while drawing 16.3 personal fouls. They allow a 31.8% shooting percentage from three-point range and rank 295th in Division 1, giving up an average of 78.1 points per game. Opponents have a field goal percentage of 46.3% against them (659 of 1,423) as San Diego concedes 36.8 rebounds per game, ranking 347th in the nation for assists allowed, with a total of 375 over the season.

In their last game, the St. Mary’s Gaels endured a defeat against Gonzaga, concluding with a score of 73-65. St. Mary’s allowed Gonzaga to gather 36 rebounds (10 offensive) and shot 35.3% from three-point range, hitting 6 of 17 attempts, while ending up converting 13 of 21 free throw attempts (61.9%). Gonzaga capitalized on their opportunities, making 27 of 58 shots for a shooting percentage of 46.6%. St. Mary’s performance reflected an overall field goal percentage of 34.0%, sinking 18 of their 53 attempts, including 28.6% from deep with 6 of 21 success. They made 23 free throw attempts with a remarkable percentage of 92.0%. Gonzaga committed 18 fouls, providing the Gaels with 25 free throw attempts, and they also forced 9 turnovers while securing 6 steals in the game.

Joshua Dent was pivotal for St. Mary’s, tallying 16 points in his 35 minutes of play, contributing 3 assists and a shooting performance of 50.0% (6 of 12) along with 6 rebounds.

This season, St. Mary’s holds a 19-4 record. Offensively, the Gaels are shooting 46.1% from the field, ranking 135th nationally, scoring a total of 1,794 points (78.0 per game) along with 39.4 rebounds per game. Their assist rate stands at 15.0 per game (125th nationally) with only 11.2 turnovers on average. St. Mary’s commits 15.9 fouls per contest and excels at the charity stripe with an 81.6% free throw percentage.

Defensively, the Gaels allow a 29.9% shooting percentage from three-point range (143 of 478) while opponents successfully convert 73.2% of their free throws. They concede an average of 12.7 assists and 29.1 rebounds per game, ranking 125th and 5th respectively on defense. Notably, St. Mary’s is 17th in Division 1 for points allowed per game, limiting opponents to 64.9 points. They force an average of 10.5 turnovers and permit teams a shooting rate of 40.7% from the floor (41st overall).

Who will triumph in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Pick San Diego

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Pick: San Diego Toreros
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