Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Preview, 8/8/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Preview, 8/8/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, August 8, 2025

Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Broadcast: Padres.TV

Betting Odds: Boston (+126) San Diego (-152)

This Friday, the San Diego Padres (64-51) will take on the Boston Red Sox (64-52) at Petco Park. Current betting lines place Boston at +126 and San Diego at -152, with an over/under set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers projected for this matchup are Walker Buehler for the Padres and Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox.

MLB Predictions for Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres

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The Boston Red Sox have showcased a slugging percentage of .430, with a total of 1,033 strikeouts against 367 walks this season. They boast 554 RBIs and 1,010 hits, maintaining a batting average of .254. The team has successfully executed 239 doubles and launched 141 home runs, scoring 577 runs with an on-base percentage of .323. Averaging 5.0 runs per game, they rank 5th in MLB.

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The Red Sox have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.53 and a combined WHIP of 1.30. Their pitching staff allowed 118 home runs and 496 total runs, placing them 15th in the league. Boston’s pitchers have given up 968 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) alongside 430 earned runs, attaining a team ERA of 3.72 (7th in the league) with 960 strikeouts. They have also issued 379 walks to opposing batters, resulting in a FIP of 3.99 for the season.

This season, the Red Sox have utilized 379 relievers, with 31.8% of inherited runners scoring. They have recorded 32 saves against 22 failed attempts out of 54 opportunities, resulting in a 59.3% save rate across 120 situations. The relievers have secured 64 holds (16th in MLB) and entered games with runners on base 117 times, with 142 appearances in high-leverage scenarios.

The Baltimore Orioles have achieved 3,120 putouts, 1,067 assists, and 93 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .978, ranking 30th in the league, while turning 97 double plays. In 9,360 innings played, the Red Sox have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs, positioning them 26th in the league.

Buehler has pitched a total of 807 innings, racking up 825 strikeouts in his career. With a 53-28 record, his FIP stands at 3.50, having faced 3,329 batters. Buehler’s earned run average is 3.56 (319 ERs), supported by a career WHIP of 1.150 and a record of 694 hits permitted (7.7 hits per nine innings) alongside 234 walks.

The San Diego Padres are currently hitting with a slugging percentage of .382 and averaging 4.14 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have achieved 177 doubles and recorded 476 runs while allowing 807 strikeouts (28th in the league) and accumulating 966 hits. Their on-base percentage stands at .320 with a team batting average of .251 this season.

With a team WHIP of 1.208 and FIP of 3.88, the Padres lead the league in total hits allowed, conceding 856. They have given up 438 runs with a team ERA of 3.58 and 404 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is impressive at 8.70 (978 strikeouts against 373 walks), allowing 113 home runs and averaging 3.88 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).

The Padres have recorded 135 save opportunities, achieving 79 holds and encountering 14 blown saves. Their relievers have been called upon 53 times in save situations, successfully converting 39 of those into saves. Collectively, the bullpen has appeared 163 times in high-pressure situations, with 134 of those times featuring inherited runners. Their inherited runners scoring rate is 28.6%, placing them 2nd in MLB with a 73.6% save rate across 405 relief appearances.

Defensively, the Padres have turned 89 double plays and maintain a .986 fielding percentage (14th in the majors). They have registered 880 assists, 54 errors, and completed 3,051 putouts this season. In 9,153 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 71.5%, ranking 2nd in the majors.

Pivetta, in his MLB career, has surrendered 1,067 hits and boasts 1,275 strikeouts over 1,157 innings. With a 67-74 record, he has a 4.53 earned run average and concedes 8.3 hits per 9 innings. Pivetta has allowed 583 earned runs, while owning a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.12 as he has faced 4,890 batters to date.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, both against the spread and on the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Boston (+126)

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