Matchup: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Friday, August 8, 2025
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Betting Odds: New York (+125) Milwaukee (-145)
The Milwaukee Brewers (70-44) are set to face off against the New York Mets (63-52) at American Family Field this Friday. Current betting lines have the Mets at +125, while the Brewers are favored at -145. The projected total for the game stands at 8.5 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Kodai Senga and Brandon Woodruff.
This season, the New York Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league. With a total of 501 runs and a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .318, the Mets have hit 180 doubles and launched 140 home runs. They boast 486 RBIs alongside 915 hits, reflecting a batting average of .239. The team holds a slugging percentage of .404, with 921 strikeouts and 398 walks.
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The Mets’ pitchers have a combined WHIP of 1.31 and a K/BB ratio of 2.40. They’ve surrendered 102 home runs and 466 runs (8th in the league) this season, giving up 927 hits at a rate of 8.2 per 9 innings. With a collective ERA of 3.67 (6th in MLB), they have fanned 983 batters while walking 410. Their FIP stands at 3.85.
Mets relievers have achieved a save percentage of 65.4%, appearing in 126 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 180 runners, with 33.9% scoring. This season, Metro relief pitchers have faced runners in 122 cases, including 139 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has recorded 375 outings thus far, including 74 holds (8th in MLB). They’ve secured 34 saves and blown 18 of 52 save chances this season.
In total, the Minnesota Twins have recorded 3,066 putouts, 1,035 assists, and 54 errors, with a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB) and 86 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls put in play into outs over their 9,198 innings, ranking them 18th in the league.
Senga, with a career record of 20-10, has a FIP of 2.72 and has faced 1,085 batters. He has allowed 196 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 122 walks and holding an earned run average (ERA) of 2.76 (80 earned runs). His career WHIP is 1.221, spanning 260 innings pitched and 297 strikeouts.
The Brewers boast a collective slugging percentage of .398 and average 5.00 runs per game, ranking 4th in MLB. They have recorded 176 doubles and earned 387 walks, reaching 570 runs scored. Milwaukee has belted 114 home runs while driving in 532 runs. Striking out 899 times (23rd in the league), they have mustered 992 hits and maintain a team OBP of .330 paired with a .257 batting average this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.239, with a FIP of 3.96. They rank 3rd in MLB for total hits allowed (876), limiting opponents to 443 runs with a team ERA of 3.62 (408 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.80 (988 strikeouts vs 380 walks), allowing 121 home runs and yielding 3.93 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).
With 126 save situations thus far, the Brewers’ bullpen has amassed 79 holds alongside 12 blown saves. Milwaukee relievers have entered 44 save opportunities, converting 32 into saves. They have appeared 127 times in high-leverage situations and 102 instances with runners on. The Milwaukee bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 31.0% from 155 inherited runners, ranking 3rd in MLB with a 72.7% save rate. They have dispatched 390 bullpen arms this season.
Over 9,129 innings played, the Brewers achieve a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in professional baseball). They’ve converted 79 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Brewers have collected 915 assists, committed 53 errors, and totaled 3,043 putouts this year.
Woodruff has surrendered 549 hits in his MLB tenure while accumulating 825 strikeouts over 708 innings pitched. He has given up 241 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.029 and a FIP of 3.0. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio is 4.58, facing 2,831 batters. With a record of 49-26, Woodruff maintains an earned run average of 3.06 and allows 7.0 hits per 9 innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose Milwaukee (-145)
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