Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
Date: Friday, August 8, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcasting: Chicago Sports Network
Betting Odds: Cleveland (-128) Chicago (+106)
This Friday, the Chicago White Sox (42-72) are set to clash with the Cleveland Guardians (59-55) at Rate Field. The betting line favors the Guardians at -128, while the White Sox are getting +106. The total runs expected for the game is set at 9, with Tanner Bibee and Aaron Civale projected as the starting pitchers.
The Guardians have a slugging percentage of .376, with 931 strikeouts and 361 walks this season. They’ve driven in 433 runs and collected 855 hits, resulting in a batting average of .228. Collectively, they’ve hit 169 doubles and launched 120 home runs, scoring a total of 450 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .300. Averaging 4.0 runs per game, Cleveland ranks 26th overall in Major League Baseball.
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Cleveland’s pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.41, with a collective WHIP of 1.29. Guardians pitchers have allowed 122 home runs and 473 runs (ranking 11th in the league). They’ve given up 914 hits, averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings, and have 432 earned runs. Their season ERA stands at 3.83 (11th in the league), with 965 strikeouts and 400 walks allowed. The team’s FIP is 4.06 this season.
The Guardians’ pitchers have faced players on base 97 times and have been in high-leverage situations 133 times throughout the season. Their bullpen has achieved 80 holds, ranking second in the league, with a save rate of 68.0% from 133 save opportunities, converting 34 saves and missing 16 chances. The bullpen has inherited 135 runners this season, with a 36.3% scoring rate. In total, Cleveland has summoned 379 relief pitchers this year.
Cleveland has converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs during 9,141 innings, placing them 15th in MLB. They have achieved 3,047 putouts, 941 assists, and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is .982, ranking 28th in the league, along with a total of 86 double plays.
Bibee, with a career win-loss record of 29-21, has a FIP of 3.56 after facing 1,824 batters in the majors. He has given up 395 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 124 walks, with an earned run average (ERA) of 3.62 (177 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.178, having pitched 440 innings and recorded 440 strikeouts in his career.
The Chicago White Sox have hit 110 home runs this season, driving in 421 RBIs, alongside 178 doubles. They’ve earned 360 walks and scored 437 runs, holding an OBP of .300 and a batting average of .229. The White Sox have a slugging percentage of .369 and average 3.83 runs per game, which ranks 27th in MLB. They’ve struck out 955 times (16th in the league) and collected 861 hits.
Chicago’s pitching staff has surrendered 507 runs this year, with a team ERA of 4.15 (458 earned runs). They have given up 123 home runs, averaging 4.60 runs allowed per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). With a WHIP of 1.370, the White Sox’s FIP sits at 4.46. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.70 (849 strikeouts against 420 walks), positioning them 17th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 940 hits given up.
In 80 save situations, the White Sox have achieved 48 holds but have also recorded 17 blown saves. Chicago has called upon their relievers in 32 save opportunities, securing 15 saves. Their bullpen has appeared in 100 high-leverage situations and 105 times with runners on base. The inherited score percentage for Chicago’s bullpen stands at 29.0% from 155 inherited runners, placing them 30th in the league with a save percentage of 46.9%. They have used 358 relief pitchers throughout the season.
In their 8,937 innings played this season, Chicago has a defensive efficiency rate of 69.8% (16th in MLB). The White Sox have executed 96 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in baseball), with a total of 940 assists, 70 errors, and 2,979 putouts so far this year.
Civale, in his MLB career, has allowed 657 hits while recording 633 strikeouts over 706 innings pitched. He has given up 316 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.207 and a FIP of 4.0. With a K/BB ratio of 3.25, he has faced 2,933 batters during his career, maintaining a career record of 42-41 and an ERA of 4.03, allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious tonight in the MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Chicago (+106)
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