Matchup: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: New York (+126) Milwaukee (-152)
The Milwaukee Brewers (70-44) will host the New York Mets (63-52) at American Family Field this Saturday. The betting odds favor New York at +126, while Milwaukee stands at -152. The total points for this game are set at 8.5. Frankie Montas and Logan Henderson are projected to be the starting pitchers for their respective teams.
The Mets have amassed a total of 180 doubles this season, hitting 140 home runs. Their team slugging percentage is .404, with 921 strikeouts and 398 walks. Averaging 4.4 runs per game, the Mets rank 15th in MLB. They have recorded 486 RBIs and 915 hits, maintaining a batting average of .239 and scoring 501 runs, complemented by a .318 on-base percentage.
New York’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.40, with their pitching staff achieving a WHIP of 1.31. This season, Mets pitchers have allowed 102 home runs and 466 runs (8th in MLB). They have conceded 927 hits (averaging 8.2 per nine innings) and 417 earned runs, culminating in a team ERA of 3.67 (6th in MLB) while striking out 983 batters. The pitching staff has issued 410 walks, and their FIP stands at 3.85.
Mets relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 122 times, with 139 high-leverage appearances. This bullpen has collected 74 holds—ranking 8th in the league—with a save percentage of 65.4% across 126 save opportunities, recording 34 saves while failing to convert on 18 attempts. Out of the 180 inherited runners, 33.9% have scored. The Mets have used a total of 375 relief pitchers this season.
In 9,198 innings played, the Mets convert 69.5% of balls in play to outs, ranking 18th in Major League Baseball. The Minnesota Twins boast 3,066 putouts, accompanied by 1,035 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is .987, placing them 11th in professional baseball, along with 86 double plays.
Frankie Montas has pitched 777 innings in his career, striking out 789 batters. With a career record of 47-48, his FIP is 4.14. Against 3,332 batters, he has an ERA of 4.20 (363 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.320, allowing 753 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and issuing 273 walks.
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit 114 home runs and recorded 532 RBIs this season. With 176 doubles and 387 walks, they have scored 570 runs. The Brewers possess a .330 OBP and a .257 team batting average. Their slugging percentage is .398, averaging 5.00 runs per game (4th in MLB). However, they have struck out 899 times (23rd in the league) and have accumulated 992 hits.
The Brewers’ pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.239 and a FIP of 3.96 this season. They rank 3rd in baseball for fewest hits allowed, totaling 876. Milwaukee’s pitchers have surrendered 443 runs this year, maintaining an ERA of 3.62 (408 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.80, striking out 988 batters against 380 walks. The team has allowed 121 home runs and gives up 3.93 runs per nine innings (4th in MLB).
Milwaukee’s bullpen has inherited 155 runners, with a 31.0% scoring rate. Relief pitchers have entered 127 times in high-leverage scenarios and faced runners 102 times. In total, the Brewers have recorded 79 holds and 12 blown saves among 126 save situations and rank 3rd in MLB with a 72.7% save percentage, utilizing 390 relief pitchers this season. They have converted 32 of 44 save chances.
In 9,129 innings, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in MLB). They have executed 79 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB), along with 915 assists, 53 errors, and 3,043 putouts for the season.
In his professional career, Logan Henderson has allowed 17 hits while recording 33 strikeouts over 25 innings. He has conceded 5 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 0.996 and a FIP of 1.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.13, having faced 99 batters. Henderson holds a perfect 3-0 career record with a 1.79 earned run average, allowing 6.1 hits per nine innings.
Who do you think will claim victory in tonight’s matchup, whether against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Go with Milwaukee (-152)
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