- Erik Silva vs Francis Marshall: A Fight Analysis
- UFC Mexico Event Details
- Location: Arena CDMX in Mexico City
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
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In an exciting matchup scheduled for UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026, Erik Silva will go head-to-head against Francis Marshall. The betting odds place Silva at +525 and Marshall at -700.
Known as “The King,” Erik Silva enters the octagon boasting a record of 9 wins and 3 losses. This 38-year-old competitor weighs 145 lbs and stands at a height of 5′ 9″. As an orthodox fighter, he possesses a reach of 71 inches. On the other side, Francis “Fire” Marshall, also 5′ 9″, comes in with the same weight of 145 lbs and has an overall record of 8-3-0. At just 26 years old, he has a reach of 72 inches. In terms of striking statistics, Silva averages 2.07 significant strikes landed per minute, while Marshall averages a higher 3.46. Silva boasts a striking accuracy of 70%, whereas Marshall’s accuracy sits at 33%. Defensively, Silva absorbs 1.57 significant strikes per minute, while Marshall allows a higher rate of 4.10 strikes per minute. Silva successfully defends against 40% of significant strikes, compared to Marshall, who defends 54% of incoming blows.
| UFC Mexico | Erik Silva | Francis Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +525 | -700 |
| Record | 9-3-0 | 8-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 5:19 | 11:50 |
| Height | 5′ 9″ | 5′ 9″ |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 71″ | 72″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.07 | 3.46 |
| Striking Accuracy | 70% | 33% |
In terms of grappling, Erik Silva exhibits superior wrestling capability, achieving an impressive 3.76 takedowns per 15 minutes, with an 80% success rate. He successfully defends against 62% of takedowns attempted by his opponents. Conversely, Marshall secures 44% of his takedown attempts and defends against 66% of his opponents’ attempts. When it comes to submission attempts, Silva showcases more experience, attempting 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds, compared to Marshall’s 0.4 submission attempts during the same period.
In his most recent bout, Erik Silva faced Muhammad Naimov but suffered a defeat due to a leg injury in round 1. Naimov managed to connect 3 out of 4 total strikes during that fight, while Silva only landed 0 out of 1 total strikes. In significant strikes, Naimov landed 1 of 2, giving him a striking success rate of 50%. Silva, unfortunately, did not land any significant strikes during this matchup. Naimov’s success rate included 100% of significant strikes that landed at distance, while Silva faced a percentage of 0% against distance strikes.
In Francis Marshall’s latest fight, he faced Mairon Santos and lost by a narrow split decision in round 3. Santos registered an impressive 98% of significant strikes at distance, holding Marshall to a 27% success rate from 39 of 143 attempts. Marshall connected on 32 of his significant strikes aimed at the head amid 58 successful strikes landed by Santos. Overall, Santos achieved 78 out of 154 total strikes, while Marshall accomplished 64 of 179 total strikes in that contest.
Must-Watch Fights
One fight that fans shouldn’t overlook features Damian Pinas versus Wes Schultz. Pinas, with a record of 8-1-0, is a 23-year-old weighing in at 185 lbs and standing at 6′ 1″. He possesses an arm span of 79 inches. Schultz is slightly taller at 6′ 2″ with a record of 8-2-0, competing at the same weight. In grappling aspects, Pinas averages 0.50 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Schultz is more prolific, achieving 5.57 takedowns per 15 minutes. Striking statistics favor Pinas, who lands 9.62 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 50%. Schultz connects at a lower rate of 5.39 strikes per minute but maintains a 46% accuracy rate.
For an action-packed fight, keep an eye on Macy Chiasson as she prepares to battle Ailin Perez. Perez, looking to improve her record of 12-2-0, weighs 135 lbs and stands at 5′ 5″. As a switch fighter, she has a reach of 66 inches. Chiasson, at 5′ 11″ with a record of 11-5-0, tips the scales at 135 lbs as well, boasting a reach of 72 inches. In terms of grappling, Ailin Perez has a takedown success rate of 46% and successfully thwarts 66% of her opponent’s takedown attempts. Chiasson manages to land 37% of her takedown attempts, defending against 72% of takedown attempts against her. Striking-wise, Perez lands 3.10 strikes per minute while absorbing 1.79, while Chiasson both absorbs and throws 2.86 and 3.50 strikes per minute, respectively.
Which fighter will prevail in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?
Betting Recommendation: Choose Francis Marshall (-700)
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