East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Mercer Bears Preview, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Mercer Bears Preview, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Mercer Bears
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Venue: Hawkins Arena in Macon, GA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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In an exciting NCAA basketball showdown, the Mercer Bears (18-12) will host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (21-9) at Hawkins Arena this Saturday.

College Basketball Picks Baraka Okojie Mercer Bears Predictions Best Bet Odds

In their previous matchup, the East Tennessee State Buccaneers faced Wofford, taking a narrow defeat with a final score of 72-69. Both teams recorded 15 personal fouls, and the Buccaneers managed to make 8 of their 27 attempts from long range. Wofford converted 14 of 18 free throws, resulting in a shooting percentage of 77.8%. Wofford secured 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive) but did not manage to block any shots. They also tallied 14 assists and 5 steals during the game. Defensively, East Tennessee State allowed Wofford to shoot 40.3% from the field, yielding 25 successful baskets out of 62 attempts. The Buccaneers registered 13 assists, forced 6 turnovers, and earned 5 steals, while grabbing a total of 33 rebounds—7 of which were offensive. Their free throw shooting was less than ideal, with a conversion rate of 59.1% (13 out of 22). East Tennessee State shot 52.9% from the field (27 of 51) and only managed 2 of 13 from beyond the arc.

Highlighting the Buccaneers’ performance, Blake Barkley delivered a solid contribution with 16 points on 5 of 6 shooting in just 20 minutes on the court, also pulling down 6 rebounds and dishing out 2 assists.

The Buccaneers enter this contest with a 21-9 overall record. They average 10.3 turnovers per game while committing 16.4 fouls. On the boards, East Tennessee State pulls in 34.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 436 assists this season, placing them 106th nationally in assists per game. They are shooting 34.3% from long range (222 of 648) and 75.9% from the free throw line. Their scoring average stands at 78.3 points per game, which ranks 129th in the nation, with a field goal percentage of 48.8%.

Defensively, the Buccaneers force an average of 13.0 turnovers per game while committing 15.2 fouls. Currently, they rank 196th among NCAA teams in assists allowed, conceding 387 this year. Opponents shoot 41.9% against them (702 out of 1,677), and they collect 31.9 rebounds per game. Opposing teams are shooting 31.7% from three-point range, and the Buccaneers rank 51st in Division 1 for points allowed per game at 68.5.

In their last outing, the Mercer Bears endured a loss against Western Carolina, with a final score of 78-74. Mercer accumulated 18 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds, totaling 25 for the game. They turned the ball over 12 times, while claiming 6 steals. Western Carolina committed 17 fouls, sending the Bears to the charity stripe for 22 attempts. Mercer converted 16 of those, achieving a free throw percentage of 72.7%. From long range, Mercer made 2 of 12 attempts (16.7%). Overall, the Bears shot 50.9% from the field, hitting 28 of 55 shots. On defense, they allowed Western Carolina to shoot 45.3% (24 of 53) and surrendered 28 rebounds (7 offensive).

Baraka Okojie was a standout player for Mercer, hitting 8 of 13 shots for a field goal percentage of 61.5%, alongside 1 rebound. He scored 22 points in 36 minutes, contributing 1 assist.

The Bears hold a record of 18-12 for the season. Offensively, they shoot 46.3% from the floor, ranking 122nd in Division 1. Mercer has notched a total of 2,491 points this season, averaging 83.0 points per game, while hauling in 38.1 rebounds per contest. They dish out assists at a rate of 13.8 per game (186th in the country) and commit 10.6 turnovers on average. The Bears average 15.5 personal fouls per game and convert 73.2% of their free throw attempts.

Defensively, Mercer allows 34.1% shooting from three-point range (264 of 775) with opponents converting 74.8% of their free throws. On average, they permit 12.5 assists and collect 35.9 rebounds per game, ranking 107th and 280th, respectively. The Bears allow an average of 75.4 points per game, placing them 229th in Division 1. They force 12.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (122nd in D-1).

Who will cover the spread in tonight’s NCAA game?

Prediction: Back East Tennessee State

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Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
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