San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos Predictions for 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos Predictions for 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Venue: ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Boise State Broncos (17-11) are set to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (19-8) at ExtraMile Arena this Tuesday.

college basketball predictions and odds for San Diego State Aztecs

The San Diego State Aztecs faced off against New Mexico in their previous game, suffering a defeat with a final score of 81-76. In that contest, San Diego State recorded a field goal percentage of 45.0% (27 out of 60) and managed to sink 9 of their 31 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they completed 13 of 22 shots, yielding a 59.1% success rate. The Aztecs grabbed a total of 34 rebounds, including 6 offensive boards, and provided 19 assists while forcing 6 turnovers and securing 4 steals. On the defensive front, they allowed New Mexico to shoot 39.3% from the field, with the opponent making 24 of 61 attempts. New Mexico registered 13 assists and 4 steals, and collected 39 rebounds (14 offensive, 25 defensive), without any blocks. The opponent shot 69.4% from the charity stripe, converting 25 of 36 attempts, and hit 8 out of 23 shots from the three-point line. San Diego State committed 23 personal fouls, compared to New Mexico’s 18.

Miles Byrd was a pivotal player for the Aztecs, achieving 50.0% shooting from the field with 1 assist. He played 28 minutes, recorded 7 rebounds, and scored 17 points on 5 of 10 shooting.

San Diego State enters this game with a record of 19-8. They lose the ball with an average of 12.3 turnovers per game and commit 18.9 fouls on average. The team averages 35.7 rebounds per game and has accumulated 417 assists this season, ranking them 140th nationally in assists. The Aztecs are shooting 35.8% from three-point range (185 of 517) and 75.3% from the free-throw line. They score an average of 79.3 points per game (105th in Division 1) and have a field goal percentage of 47.6%.

Defensively, the Aztecs force 15.1 turnovers per game and incur 17.7 fouls. They rank 105th in collegiate assists allowed, giving up 362 assists this season. San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 39.6% (609 of 1,538) and averages 33.4 rebounds surrendered per game. They permit 32.6% shooting from beyond the arc and are ranked 79th in Division 1 for points allowed per game (70.1).

In their previous matchup, the Boise State Broncos claimed victory, defeating Fresno State 69-53. On the boards, Boise State allowed Fresno State a total of 29 rebounds (7 offensive). The Broncos struggled from downtown, making only 3 of 18 attempts (16.7%) and shot 6 of 9 from the free-throw line (66.7%). Fresno State converted 22 of 54 field goals, resulting in a 40.7% shooting rate. By the end of the game, Boise State was 26 for 65 from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 40.0%. From three-point range, they successfully made 11 of 37 attempts (29.7%). Fresno State committed 12 personal fouls, which led to the Broncos having 8 free-throw attempts. They turned the ball over 9 times while making 5 steals and gathered 39 total rebounds (24 defensive and 15 offensive).

Javan Buchanan was a standout contributor for the Broncos, shooting 61.1% (11 of 18) and collecting 6 rebounds. Over 34 minutes on the court, he scored 26 points and provided 3 assists.

Boise State holds a record of 17-11 this season. Offensively, the Broncos are shooting 45.4% from the field, placing them 175th in the nation. They have scored a total of 2,195 points this season (averaging 78.4 points per game) and grab 35.5 rebounds per game. With an average of 13.7 assists per game (ranked 197th in Division 1), they also commit 11.6 turnovers per game. Boise State gives away 17.2 fouls per contest and shots 78.3% from the free-throw line.

On the defensive side, the Broncos allow opponents to shoot 35.3% from three-point range (213 of 604) and permit 71.3% shooting from the free-throw line. They average 12.3 assists and 29.2 rebounds allowed per game, placing them 90th and 7th respectively in those statistical areas. Boise State ranks 190th in Division 1 for points allowed per game, surrendering 73.9 in total. They force 10.1 turnovers each game and let opponents shoot 46.1% from the field (290th in the nation).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Take San Diego State

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Pick: San Diego State Aztecs
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