Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
Scheduled for: Monday, August 11, 2025
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+162) Milwaukee (-196)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (50-66) are gearing up to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (70-44) at American Family Field this Monday. The betting line has the Pirates at +162, with the Brewers starting at -196. The total runs over/under is set at 8.5. On the mound, we will see Andrew Heaney for the Pirates and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.
The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .347, having recorded 1,010 strikeouts and drawn 370 walks. They have accumulated 402 RBIs and a total of 898 hits this season, maintaining a batting average of .233. The team has hit 159 doubles and 83 home runs while scoring 414 runs, with a team on-base percentage of .304. The Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging 3.6 runs per game, ranking them 30th in the league.
Defensively, the Pirates boast an earned run average (ERA) of 3.85 this season (13th in MLB), with 890 strikeouts recorded by their pitching staff. They have allowed 112 home runs and 466 runs (9th in the league), facing 334 walks. The team’s FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) stands at 3.91, with opponents hitting .265 against them. Pittsburgh has surrendered 912 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 439 earned runs, sporting a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.21.
The Pirates’ bullpen has a save conversion rate of 55.8%, entering 99 save opportunities. They have faced 162 inherited base runners this year, with 33.3% resulting in earned runs. The pitching unit has seen 357 relievers on the mound, securing 54 holds (24th in MLB) and converting 24 out of 43 save chances this season.
In the field, the Pirates have converted 71.3% of balls in play to outs during their 9,234 defensive innings, ranking 4th in the majors. They have made 3,078 putouts, contributed 966 assists, and committed 52 errors. Their current fielding percentage stands at .987, placing them 9th in the league, along with 85 double plays turned.
Andrew Heaney (56-71 career record) enters this match with a FIP of 4.42 and has faced 4,818 batters throughout his career. He has surrendered 1,094 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and issued 335 walks. With a career ERA of 4.49 (563 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.266, Heaney has pitched 1,129 innings, accumulating 1,150 strikeouts.
The Milwaukee Brewers have achieved an on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .257 this season. They have struck out 899 times (24th in MLB) and registered 992 hits, hitting 114 home runs and driving in 532 runs overall. With a slugging percentage of .398, the Brewers are scoring an average of 5.00 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league. They’ve recorded 176 doubles, 387 walks, and a total of 570 runs.
On the pitching side, the Brewers have allowed 443 runs this season, with a collective ERA of 3.62 (408 earned runs allowed). They have given up 121 home runs and allow an average of 3.93 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). Their WHIP stands at 1.239 with a FIP of 3.96 as a unit. The Brewers’ pitching staff has a stellar K/BB ratio of 8.80 (988 strikeouts vs. 380 walks), ranking them 3rd in MLB for total hits allowed with 876.
In 126 save situations, the Brewers have secured 79 holds and suffered 12 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have capitalized on 44 save opportunities, converting 32 saves. These relievers have been called upon 127 times in high-leverage situations and have navigated 102 appearances with base runners. Milwaukee’s relief core enjoys an inherited score rate of 31.0% from 155 inherited base runners, holding a save percentage of 72.7% and deploying 390 relief pitchers throughout the season.
With 9,129 innings played defensively, the Brewers have a fielding efficiency of 71.1% (6th in MLB). They have recorded 79 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the league), amassing 915 assists, 53 errors, and 3,043 putouts to date.
Freddy Peralta, with a career record of 66-41, has yielded 670 hits and secured 1,090 strikeouts across 884 innings pitched. His career ERA sits at 3.68, allowing just 6.8 hits per 9 innings pitched. With 362 earned runs to his name, Peralta holds a WHIP of 1.146 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.18, having faced 3,674 batters throughout his professional journey.
What will be the outcome of tonight’s MLB game regarding the spread or moneyline?
Parlay’s Expert Prediction: Bet on Milwaukee (-196) and under 8.5 runs
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