VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers Preview, 3/6/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

Home » VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers Preview, 3/6/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers
  • Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Venue: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
  • Broadcast: ESPN2

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The VCU Rams (23-7) are heading to UD Arena this Friday to face off against the Dayton Flyers (21-9).

College Basketball Predictions and Odds for Dayton Flyers

In their most recent matchup, the VCU Rams secured a 70-65 victory over George Mason. They recorded a shooting percentage of 43.6% (24 out of 55) and nailed 7 out of 20 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, the Rams converted 15 of 20 for a solid 75.0% success rate. On the boards, they grabbed a total of 29 rebounds, including 8 offensive boards. VCU also provided 5 assists, forced 10 turnovers, and came away with 4 steals. Defensively, they allowed George Mason to shoot 45.3% from the floor on 24 out of 53 attempts. George Mason recorded 9 assists and had 5 steals, finishing with 29 total rebounds (8 offensive, 21 defensive), while not managing a single block. They shot at a free throw percentage of 73.3%, hitting 11 of their 15 attempts, and made 6 of 19 from beyond the arc. VCU and George Mason both ended the match with 20 personal fouls each.

Terrence Hill Jr. was a key player for VCU in this game, scoring 16 points on 5 of 13 shooting, contributing 2 assists and 1 rebound over 31 minutes of play, with a field goal percentage of 38.5%.

Currently, VCU stands at 23-7 for the season, averaging 82.9 points per game (ranked 44th nationally) with an impressive shooting percentage of 46.1%. They excel in three-point shooting as well, hitting 36.3% (283 of 779). From the free-throw line, they maintain a 74.0% accuracy. On average, VCU grabs 37.1 rebounds per game and has accumulated 428 assists this season, ranking them 170th nationally for assists. They turn the ball over 10.9 times per game and commit 17.6 personal fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Rams force an average of 12.0 turnovers per game while committing 20.6 personal fouls. They rank 95th in allowing assists, having conceded 373 this season. VCU’s defense allows a shooting percentage of 43.2% (766 of 1,774) and concedes 34.0 rebounds per game, allowing opponents to hit 33.6% from three-point territory. They stand at 141st in points allowed per game, averaging 72.5.

In their last outing, the Dayton Flyers clinched a win against Richmond, finishing 65-60. Defensively, Dayton gave up 25 rebounds to Richmond (8 on the offensive end). They struggled with long-range shooting, making only 4 out of 23 attempts (17.4%) and were successful on 10 of 15 free-throw attempts (66.7%). Richmond shot 23 out of 60 from the field, achieving a percentage of 38.3%, while Dayton shot 21 for 43 overall for 48.8%. From downtown, the Flyers made 8 of 21 attempts (38.1%). Richmond committed 15 personal fouls, granting the Flyers 18 free throw opportunities, during which they turned the ball over 15 times but managed to accumulate 3 steals. Dayton recorded a total of 33 rebounds with 27 being defensive.

De’Shayne Montgomery played a pivotal role for the Flyers in this game, hitting 5 of 8 shots for a superb 62.5% shooting percentage, obtaining 7 rebounds, scoring 15 points in 29 minutes, and providing 1 assist.

The Flyers currently hold a record of 21-9 this season. Offensively, Dayton connects on 45.3% of their field goals, ranking 184th in the nation. They have scored 2,266 points this season (averaging 75.5 points per game) and secure 32.5 rebounds per contest. With an average of 14.5 assists per game (ranked 139th in Division 1), they also average 12.2 turnovers. Dayton commits 16.7 personal fouls per game and maintains a free-throw shooting percentage of 75.6%.

Dayton’s defense allows a 35.3% shooting rate from three-point range (241 of 683), while opponents convert 70.6% of their free throw attempts. The Flyers average allowing 12.4 assists and 34.1 rebounds per game, ranking 94th and 162nd respectively. They are placed 79th in the nation in points allowed per game, surrendering 70.2. They force 15.1 turnovers per game and permit teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (138th in D-1).

Who will come out on top in tonight’s NCAA showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Take VCU

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Pick: VCU Rams
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