Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder Predictions, Odds for UFC 326 on 03/07/2026

• Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder
• UFC 326: A Night to Remember
• T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
• Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

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On Saturday, March 7, 2026, Caio Borralho will clash with Reinier de Ridder in the Octagon at UFC 326. Borralho enters this bout as the favorite at -230, while de Ridder has odds of +195.

Caio “The Natural” Borralho boasts a professional record of 17 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws (with 1 no contest). At 33 years of age, he weighs 185 lbs and stands 6’1″ tall, with a reach of 75 inches. In contrast, Reinier “RdR” de Ridder, a southpaw fighter, is 6’4″ tall and also weighs in at 185 lbs. De Ridder, aged 35, aims to improve his career record of 21 wins and 3 losses, with a reach of 78 inches. In terms of striking, Borralho averages 3.44 significant strikes per minute, while de Ridder lands 2.20 per minute. Borralho has a striking accuracy of 56%, compared to de Ridder’s 53%. In terms of defense, Borralho allows 2.50 significant strikes per minute against him, while de Ridder takes 2.04. Borralho successfully defends against 60% of incoming significant strikes, while de Ridder’s defense rate stands at 48%.

In takedown statistics, Borralho exhibits a moderate grappling ability, averaging 1.28 takedowns per three rounds with a success rate of 48%. His takedown defense is commendable at 76%. On the other hand, de Ridder completes 30% of his takedown attempts and defends against 50% of those attempted against him. Regarding submission efforts, Borralho averages 0.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes, while de Ridder makes 0.7 attempts in the same timeframe.

In his most recent fight, Caio Borralho faced Nassourdine Imavov, suffering a unanimous decision loss in the fifth round. Imavov successfully landed 89 of 170 total strikes, while Borralho managed to connect on 89 of 190 strikes. Notably, Borralho landed 39% of his significant strikes, totaling 66 from 166 attempts, with 39 directed at the head. Imavov achieved a striking accuracy of 50%, landing 53 of 118 significant strikes aimed at the head. Most significant strikes from both fighters were landed from a distance.

Reinier de Ridder’s last matchup was against Brendan Allen, resulting in a corner stoppage loss in the fourth round. De Ridder demonstrated a better distance striking accuracy, landing 66% of his attempts, including 69% of his significant strikes overall. Allen ended the bout landing 22 of 37 significant strikes, while de Ridder landed 61 of 72 total strikes attempted.

Must-Watch Fights on the Card

One exciting match-up to keep an eye on features Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. Font enters the Octagon with a record of 22 wins and 9 losses, weighing 135 lbs and standing at 5’8″. The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71 inches. Conversely, Rosas Jr. measures in at 5’9″ and also weighs 135 lbs, looking to improve his 11-1-0 record. In grappling statistics, Font averages 0.74 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Rosas Jr. manages 4.01 takedowns per three rounds. On the striking front, Font connects on 5.36 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 45%, while Rosas Jr. hits at a rate of 44%, landing 1.51 significant strikes per minute.

Another compelling contest will be between Michael Johnson and Drew Dober. Dober comes with a record of 28 wins and 15 losses (1 NC), fighting at 155 lbs and measuring 5’8″. Johnson stands at 5’10” and also weighs in at 155 lbs with a record of 25 wins and 19 losses. Dober successfully defends against 58% of his opponents’ takedown attempts and converts 16% of his own attempts, while Johnson completes 38% of his takedown attempts and defends against 81% of those thrown at him. In striking metrics, Dober averages 4.34 strikes taken per minute while delivering 4.52, while Johnson receives 3.79 strikes per minute and distributes 4.28.

Who will triumph in tonight’s highly anticipated UFC match-up?

Prediction: Take Reinier de Ridder (+195)