Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira Predictions for UFC 326 on 03/07/2026 Odds

Home » Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira Predictions for UFC 326 on 03/07/2026 Odds

  • Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira
  • UFC 326: Fight Night
  • T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

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Max Holloway is set to face Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The current moneyline has Holloway at -200, while Oliveira is listed at +170.

Max “Blessed” Holloway enters the Octagon with an impressive record of 27 wins and 8 losses. At 34 years old, he weighs in at 155 lbs and stands tall at 5’11”. His orthodox fighting style includes a reach of 69 inches. On the other hand, Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira, standing at 5’10” and also weighing 155 lbs, boasts a record of 36 wins, 11 losses, and 1 no contest. At 36 years old, he has a reach of 74 inches. Analyzing their striking data, Holloway averages 7.20 significant strikes landed per minute, while Oliveira lands 3.35. Holloway has a striking accuracy of 48%, compared to Oliveira’s 54%. In terms of defense, Holloway absorbs 4.74 significant strikes per minute and defends against 59% of incoming strikes, while Oliveira absorbs 3.24 strikes and defends against 49%.

UFC Predictions for Max Holloway and Best Bet Odds
UFC 326 Comparison Max Holloway Charles Oliveira
Opening Odds -200 +170
Current Record 27-8-0 36-11-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Duration 16:23 7:30
Height 5’11” 5’10”
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 69″ 74″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.20 3.35
Striking Precision 48% 54%

When it comes to grappling, Max Holloway has a takedown average of just 0.24 per 15 minutes, completing 53% of his attempts and successfully defending against 83%. Meanwhile, Oliveira converts 40% of his takedowns and stops 54% of his opponents’ attempts. Oliveira is more active in seeking submissions, attempting 2.6 submissions per 15 minutes, while Holloway averages just 0.3 submissions.

In his last match, Max Holloway triumphed over Dustin Poirier by unanimous decision after five rounds. Poirier landed 109 significant strikes out of 255 thrown, achieving a 42% accuracy. Holloway, conversely, landed 201 out of 378 total strikes, with a significant strike accuracy of 52%, hitting 198 of 375. The majority of strikes from both fighters were exchanged at distance.

Charles Oliveira’s latest bout saw him defeat Mateusz Gamrot via a rear-naked choke in round 2. Gamrot executed 100% of his significant strikes from a distance, while Oliveira landed 90% from range. Despite landing only 33% of his total significant strikes, Oliveira managed to execute multiple effective strikes throughout the contest.

Must-Watch Fights

Don’t miss the clash between Caio Borralho and Reinier de Ridder. Borralho enters with a record of 17-2-0 (1 NC), weighing 185 lbs and standing at 6’1″. De Ridder, at 6’4″ and 185 lbs, boasts a record of 21-3-0. In terms of grappling, Borralho averages 1.28 takedowns per 3 rounds, while de Ridder achieves 2.68. In striking, Borralho lands 3.44 strikes per minute with a 56% accuracy, whereas de Ridder connects with 53% of his attempts at an average of 2.20 strikes per minute.

If you’re looking for exciting matchups, look out for Raul Rosas Jr. versus Rob Font. Font, with a record of 22-9-0, is 5’8″ tall and weighs in at 135 lbs. Rosas Jr., standing at 5’9″ and also at 135 lbs, aims to improve his 11-1-0 record. Font successfully defends against 43% of takedown attempts while scoring on 30% of his attempts. Rosas Jr. records a 41% success rate on his takedowns and defends against 10%.

Who do you believe will win tonight’s UFC matchup?

Prediction: Bet on Max Holloway (-200)

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Pick: Max Holloway (-200)
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