- Matchup: Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers
- Event Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Venue: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Odds: Miami (+5)
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The Virginia Cavaliers (27-4) are set to face off against the Miami Hurricanes (24-7) at the Spectrum Center this Friday in the ACC Semifinals. Virginia comes into this game as 5-point favorites with an over/under of 144.
The Miami Hurricanes took to the court against Louisville, suffering a close defeat with a final score of 92-89. In terms of fouls, Miami committed 18 while Louisville registered 19. From beyond the arc, Miami sank 12 of 24 attempts. Louisville had a free-throw shooting percentage of 66.7%, converting 14 of 21 attempts. On the boards, Louisville managed 19 rebounds (5 offensive, 14 defensive), with no blocks recorded. They also achieved 22 assists and 4 steals during the game. Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 60.4% from the field, with 32 successful shots out of 53 attempts. Miami countered with 22 assists, forced 6 turnovers, and earned 5 steals. Rebounding was a struggle for the Hurricanes, as they gathered only 25 total boards, of which 8 were offensive. At the free-throw line, Miami excelled, hitting 19 of 23 shots for an impressive 82.6%. Overall, they showcased a field goal percentage of 56.4% (31 of 55) and made 8 out of their 19 three-point shots.
Tre Donaldson played a pivotal role in that game, showcasing remarkable efficiency with a shooting percentage of 68.8%. He dished out 6 assists during his 36 minutes on the floor but did not grab any rebounds. Donaldson managed to score 25 points on 11 of 16 shooting.
Coming into this matchup, Miami holds a record of 24-7. They commit an average of 11.5 turnovers per game while racking up 15.4 personal fouls. The Hurricanes grab an impressive 37.8 rebounds per game and have accumulated 514 assists this season, ranking 61st in Division 1 for their passing game. Their three-point shooting stands at 35.1% (208 of 592), while their free-throw shooting percentage is 68.1%. They currently average 82.7 points per game, which places them 44th in Division 1, and they hit an impressive 50.6% from the field.
On the defensive front, the Hurricanes force an average of 12.8 turnovers per game and commit 18.1 personal fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 35.5% from beyond the three-point line and currently rank 94th in college basketball for points allowed per game at 70.7. Miami concedes a field goal percentage of 44.1% (786 of 1,782) and gives up 29.4 rebounds per game collectively. They rank 181st nationally in assists surrendered, yielding 425 assists this season.
The Virginia Cavaliers secured a victory in their last outing against Virginia Tech with a final score of 76-72. In this contest, they allowed Virginia Tech to grab a total of 28 rebounds (11 offensive). Virginia hit 25.0% of their three-point attempts, making 8 out of 32, and went 12 of 16 at the free-throw line (75.0%). Defensively, Virginia allowed Virginia Tech to convert 26 out of 62 field goal attempts, resulting in a 41.9% shooting percentage. The Cavaliers, on the other hand, finished shooting 26 out of 58 (44.8%). Virginia made 9 out of 25 three-point shots (36.0%). They capitalized on 15 free-throw attempts, hitting 88.2%. In this matchup, Virginia Tech recorded 17 fouls which sent the Cavaliers to the line 17 times. Virginia also forced 12 turnovers and registered 8 steals while grabbing 34 total rebounds (23 defensive and 11 offensive).
Malik Thomas made a notable contribution for the Cavaliers, scoring 16 points in 24 minutes of play without any assists but connecting on 6 of 9 shots for a shooting rate of 66.7%, along with 2 rebounds.
Virginia holds a solid season record of 27-4. The Cavaliers commit an average of 17.6 fouls per game and achieve a free-throw percentage of 71.8%. They average 16.8 assists per game, ranking 35th in the country, and have a low turnover rate of 10.8 per game. Virginia has accumulated 2,507 points this season (80.9 points per game) while securing 40.8 rebounds per game. Offensively, the Cavaliers are shooting 46.1% from the field, ranking them 128th nationally.
On the defensive side, Virginia ranks 45th in Division 1 for points allowed per game at 68.3. They are forcing an average of 10.7 turnovers per game and limiting opponents to a shooting percentage of 39.7% (14th in D-1). The Cavaliers allow 30.5% from three-point range (210 of 688) and their opponents convert 74.7% of their free-throw attempts. They allow an average of 11.8 assists and 32.7 rebounds per game, ranking 57th and 78th, respectively, in college basketball.
Who will secure the win in tonight’s NCAA showdown against the spread?
Recommendation: Back Miami (+5)
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