- Matchup: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Venue: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Vanderbilt (+7)
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The Vanderbilt Commodores (24-7) are set to clash with the Florida Gators (25-6) at Bridgestone Arena during the SEC Semifinals. Vanderbilt is currently positioned as 7-point underdogs according to betting lines, with a total of 161.
In their previous game, the Vanderbilt Commodores secured a close win against Tennessee, finishing the match at 86-82. Vanderbilt achieved an impressive shooting rate of 52.9% (27 out of 51) and converted 5 of 10 attempts from three-point range. At the free-throw line, they excelled, making 27 of 32 attempts, translating to a success rate of 84.4%. On the boards, they collected 31 rebounds, including 7 offensive, and made 10 assists while forcing Tennessee into 11 turnovers and recording 8 steals. Defensively, Vanderbilt allowed Tennessee to shoot 44.3% from the field on 31 of 70 attempts. Tennessee managed 15 assists and 7 steals throughout the game, gathering 38 total rebounds (17 offensive and 21 defensive) without any blocks. They completed the game with a free-throw success rate of 66.7%, converting 14 of 21 attempts, while their perimeter shooting resulted in 6 of 24 made threes. In terms of fouls, Vanderbilt committed 19 to Tennessee’s 21.
Tyler Tanner stood out in this match, shooting an impressive 77.8% from the field and providing 3 assists. Playing for 35 minutes, he grabbed 3 rebounds and scored 25 points on 7 out of 9 shooting.
Currently, Vanderbilt boasts a record of 24-7 this season. The team loses possession through turnovers an average of 9.7 times per game and commits 19.5 fouls per match. Collectively, Vanderbilt averages 35.8 rebounds per contest and has recorded 509 assists this season, ranking 75th in D-1 basketball for assists. The Commodores hit 35.4% from beyond the arc (296 of 837) and maintain a free-throw rate of 78.3%. They score an average of 86.9 points per game (ranking 13th in D-1) and shoot 47.9% from the field.
Defensively, the Commodores force an average of 12.9 turnovers per game while allowing 19.2 fouls. They rank 23rd nationally, allowing a total of 350 assists this year. The Commodores permit a shooting percentage of 42.5% (770 of 1,813) and average 34.5 rebounds given up per game. Opponents convert 31.4% of their three-point shots against them, and they rank 220th nationally in points allowed per game (75.1).
In their latest matchup, the Florida Gators emerged victorious against Kentucky with a score of 84-77. In terms of rebounding, Florida allowed Kentucky to secure 32 rebounds (12 offensive). They had a 34.8% success rate from beyond the arc, making 8 of 23 attempts, and converted 17 of 21 free throws for an efficiency of 81.0%. Kentucky managed to shoot 39.4% (26 of 66) from the field during the game. The Gators, on the other hand, hit 28 out of 61 field goal attempts, giving them a 45.9% shooting percentage. When it came to three-point shooting, Florida succeeded on 8 out of 18 attempts (44.4%). They made 20 free throws, with a conversion rate of 62.5%. Kentucky committed 25 personal fouls, giving the Gators 32 free-throw attempts, and Florida forced Kentucky into 9 turnovers while securing 7 steals. In total, Florida claimed 38 rebounds with 27 on defense and 11 on offense.
Thomas Haugh was a key player for the Gators, contributing 20 points in 37 minutes of action, along with 3 assists and 9 rebounds, hitting 50.0% of his shots (7 out of 14).
Florida holds a record of 25-6 this season. The Gators commit an average of 17.6 fouls per game and shoot 70.8% from the free-throw line. They distribute an impressive 16.9 assists per game (ranked 34th nationally) and average 11.7 turnovers. Florida has amassed 2,719 points this year (87.7 points per game) and averages 45.5 rebounds per contest. Offensively, the Gators have a shooting rate of 48.2%, placing them 37th in Division 1.
The Gators’ defense allows 32.2% shooting from 3-point range (206 of 639) and permits opponents a free-throw conversion rate of 71.8%. They give up an average of 10.9 assists and 31.2 rebounds every game, ranking them 21st and 29th in these defensive metrics. Florida is ranked 117th in points allowed per game with an average of 71.7. They force 11.2 turnovers each game and restrict opponents to a shooting percentage of 40.6% from the floor (28th in college).
Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA match against the spread?
Prediction: Take Vanderbilt (+7)
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