- Matchup: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
- Broadcast: TSN5
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The Ottawa Senators (34-24-9) will face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-28-12) this Saturday at the Canadian Tire Centre.
Following a 3-1 loss to the Islanders, the Toronto Maple Leafs are eager to resolve some pressing issues. In that game, Toronto recorded 17 penalty minutes and struggled offensively, scoring only 1 goal from 27 shots. They also missed all 3 power play opportunities.
In terms of balance on ice, the Maple Leafs have conceded 206 goals at even strength, while netting 183 themselves. This season, their opponents have seized 182 power play opportunities (ranked 27th) and scored 31 times. The Maple Leafs have compiled a total of 215 goals (15th in the NHL), but have also allowed 237 goals. With 1,880 shot attempts, their shooting percentage rests at 11.4%. Currently, Toronto holds 70 points, translating to a points percentage of .507. They have faced 2,223 shots against, achieving a save percentage of .893, while scoring on 32 of their 165 power play chances, granting them a success rate of 19.39%.
Starting in goal for Toronto will be Anthony Stolarz. Throughout his career, Stolarz has faced 389 goals against him and maintains a goals against average of 2.84. He has participated in 164 games, boasting a save percentage of .914 over 7,576 minutes of playtime. Stolarz has accumulated a record of 72 wins, 48 losses, and 15 overtime losses, with 137 starts. He has achieved 80 quality starts, providing a quality start percentage of .584, and has stopped 4,133 of the 4,522 shots he has faced.
In their recent match, the Senators fell to the Capitals with a final score of 4-1. Ottawa scored only once on 35 shots and failed to convert on all 3 power play opportunities.
Thus far, the Senators have taken 1,931 shots (ranking 12th in the NHL) with a shooting percentage of 11.55%. They have allowed 1,626 shots against, securing a penalty kill rate of 73.71% against 194 power play chances. The Senators have earned 217 power play opportunities, achieving a power play success rate of 23.04%. Overall, they have tallied 173 goals at even strength along with 50 power play goals, placing them 4th in the league. Conversely, they have conceded 209 goals, combining 158 at even strength and 51 while shorthanded. So far this season, the Senators have scored 223 goals and gathered 77 points, resulting in a points percentage of .575.
On the other side, Linus Ullmark is slated to guard the net for Ottawa. Ullmark holds a career record of 184 wins, 97 losses, and 33 overtime losses, participating in 330 games. His quality start rate stands at 62.5%, consisting of 200 quality starts. Against 9,503 shots faced, Ullmark has made 8,685 saves, achieving a save percentage of .914. His opponents average 2.56 goals per game against him, with Ullmark allowing a total of 818 goals. He has been a starter in 320 games and logged 15,520 minutes on the ice.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s NHL matchup against the spread and moneyline?
Expert Opinion: Back Ottawa for the win
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