- Matchup: TCU Horned Frogs vs Duke Blue Devils
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Venue: Bon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: TCU (+11)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The TCU Horned Frogs (22-11) are set to face off against the Duke Blue Devils (32-2) at the Bon Secours Wellness Arena this Saturday in the NCAA Tournament’s round of 32. Duke enters the game as 11-point favorites, with the over/under set at 140.5.
In their previous game, the TCU Horned Frogs secured a narrow victory against Ohio State, ending with a score of 66-64. They achieved a field goal percentage of 40.0% by making 24 of 60 attempts and were 39.1% from beyond the arc, with 9 out of 23 successful shots. At the free throw line, TCU converted 9 of 14 attempts (64.3%). On the boards, they grabbed 38 rebounds, including 12 offensive ones, and dished out 12 assists. Defensively, they forced 7 turnovers and made 4 steals. Ohio State shot 42.1% from the field on 24 of 57 shooting and recorded 18 assists while collecting 28 boards (4 offensive, 24 defensive) without any blocks. Ohio State also excelled at free throws, hitting 10 of 11 attempts for 90.9% accuracy, although they struggled with their perimeter shooting, making only 6 of 23 three-pointers. TCU finished the game with 13 personal fouls compared to Ohio State’s 10.
Micah Robinson was a standout player in this match, contributing 18 points on 6-of-11 shooting over 37 minutes and adding 5 rebounds, although he did not provide assists.
Currently, TCU holds a 22-11 record. They average 10.9 turnovers per game and commit approximately 16.3 fouls per outing. The Horned Frogs collect about 36.2 rebounds per game and have amassed 516 assists, ranking them 70th nationally. TCU boasts a 3-point shooting percentage of 33.1% (244 of 737) and a free throw percentage of 70.8%. They average 78.3 points per game, placing them 114th in Division 1, shooting an overall field goal percentage of 44.8%.
Defensively, the Horned Frogs are forcing 13.8 turnovers per game while averaging 19 personal fouls. They rank 337th in college basketball in assists allowed, with 522 given up this season. Defensively, TCU allows a shooting percentage of 44.6% (856 of 1,920) and averages 33.5 rebounds per game, permitting 33.7% shooting from 3-point range. In terms of points allowed per game, they rank 126th in the country, giving up 72.1 points.
In their latest game, the Duke Blue Devils emerged victorious against Siena with a score of 71-65. Duke allowed Siena to collect 28 rebounds overall (9 offensive). They shot 34.6% from beyond the arc, converting 9 of 26 attempts, and went a perfect 6 for 6 from the free throw line (100.0% accuracy). Siena managed a shooting percentage of 38.5% by hitting 25 of 65 shots from the field. Duke themselves shot 40.7% from the floor, making 24 of 59 attempts, and were 19.2% from behind the 3-point line, with 5 successful attempts out of 26. Duke capitalized on 21 free throw attempts due to Siena’s 16 fouls, securing 18 successful shots for an 85.7% conversion rate. Siena committed 8 turnovers in total against Duke’s 3 steals, while the Blue Devils registered 25 defensive and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 boards in the game.
Cameron Boozer played a pivotal role for the Blue Devils, scoring 22 points in 39 minutes of play and dishing out 3 assists. He shot 36.4%, making 4 out of 11 shots, and also secured 13 rebounds.
Duke boasts an impressive 32-2 record this season. They average 15.7 personal fouls per game and convert 72.4% of their free throw attempts. The team averages 16.9 assists per game (30th in college basketball) while turning the ball over 10.5 times each game. With 2,798 total points this season, Duke averages 82.3 points per contest and records approximately 40.3 rebounds per game. Their offensive shooting percentage of 49.0% ranks them 22nd nationally.
The Duke defense limits opponents to 30.4% shooting from beyond the arc (273 of 897), while opposing teams convert 71.7% of their free throw attempts. They allow an average of 11.6 assists and 29.4 rebounds per game, ranking 48th and 7th, respectively, in those categories on the defensive end. Defensively, Duke ranks 3rd nationally, allowing an average of only 63.1 points per game while forcing their opponents into 12.2 turnovers per game. Their field goal defense ranks 9th, as they allow only 39.2% shooting.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s NCAA showdown against the spread?
Prediction: Back TCU (+11)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
