Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Miami (+150) Boston (-182)
The Boston Red Sox (66-56) will face off against the Miami Marlins (58-62) at Fenway Park this Friday. Current betting odds show the Marlins at +150 while the Red Sox are favored at -182. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, with Sandy Alcantara and Lucas Giolito taking the mound as the starting pitchers.

This season, the Miami Marlins are hitting with a slugging percentage of .397 and have accumulated 946 strikeouts while drawing 366 walks. They have scored 501 RBIs and recorded 1,033 hits this year, resulting in a batting average of .252. The Marlins have produced 201 doubles and belted 117 home runs, totaling 521 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .316. Currently, they average 4.3 runs per game, ranking 17th in Major League Baseball.
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The Marlins have established a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56, and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Miami’s pitchers have allowed 134 home runs and have given up 573 runs this season, ranking 24th in the league. They have conceded 1,015 hits (averaging 8.6 per 9 innings) and surrendered 534 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team ERA of 4.52, which places them 24th in the MLB, while striking out 947 hitters. Their pitching lineup has issued 370 walks and maintains a FIP of 4.16 over the season.
The Marlins have relied on 371 relief pitchers so far this year. The bullpen has inherited 129 base runners, with 31% scoring runs. This season, they have recorded 29 saves but missed 19 of their 48 save opportunities, translating to a save percentage of 60.4%. The relief pitchers have been involved in 115 save situations, successfully earning 66 holds (ranked 18th in the league). They have entered games with runners on 89 occasions and appeared in 125 high-leverage situations.
As a team, the Marlins have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs during 9,579 innings, which ranks them 16th in the league. The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3,193 putouts to date, complemented by 1,030 assists and 59 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in professional baseball) along with 84 double plays.
Alcantara has pitched 1,021 innings, recording 879 strikeouts in his professional career. His earned run average (ERA) stands at 3.70 after allowing 420 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.193. He has given up 898 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings) and issued 320 walks. Alcantara holds a career mark of 47-66 with a FIP of 3.65, having faced 4,216 batters during his major league tenure.
The Boston Red Sox feature a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .254 for this season. They have struck out 1,087 times (3rd in MLB) and amassed 1,065 hits. This season, Boston has hit 149 home runs with 588 RBIs, boasting a slugging percentage (SLG) of .430 and averaging 5.03 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have achieved 250 doubles, drawn 397 walks, and scored 614 runs in total.
Bostons’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 4.02. Currently, their total hits allowed ranks them 21st in the league with 1,013. The pitching staff has conceded 521 runs for the season, maintaining an ERA of 3.75 after giving up 454 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 8.20, with 1,000 strikeouts against 407 walks. The Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 123 home runs and allow an average of 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).
With 120 save situations, the Red Sox have registered 64 holds and experienced 22 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have engaged in 54 save opportunities and secured 32 saves. Boston’s relievers have appeared in 146 high-leverage situations and have been on the mound 121 times with inherited runners. This season, they have an inherited score rate of 30.7% out of 163 inherited runners and rank 22nd in save percentage at 59.3%. They have dispatched 397 relief pitchers this year.
Boston has executed 101 double plays with a fielding percentage at .979 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have tallied 1,117 assists, 96 errors, and achieved 3,273 putouts during this season. Across 9,819 innings, their defensive efficiency stands at 68.9%, ranking 24th in baseball.
Lucas Giolito has allowed 978 hits throughout his MLB career while accumulating 1,159 strikeouts across 1,113 innings pitched. Giolito holds a record of 69-64 with an ERA of 4.37, while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has yielded a total of 541 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 4.3, with a K/BB ratio of 2.77 after facing 4,677 batters during his tenure.
Which team will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Miami (+150)
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