Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer Predictions and Odds for UFC Seattle on 03/28/2026

Home » Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer Predictions and Odds for UFC Seattle on 03/28/2026

  • Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer: An Ultimate Showdown
  • UFC Seattle: A Night to Remember
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
  • Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

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On Saturday, March 28, 2026, Israel Adesanya will step into the Octagon to face Joe Pyfer during UFC Seattle. The opening odds show Adesanya at -150, with Pyfer listed at +130.

Israel “The Last Stylebender” Adesanya boasts an impressive record of 24 wins and 5 losses, competing in the middleweight division at 185 lbs and standing tall at 6’4″. He has a remarkable reach of 80 inches. Meanwhile, Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer, who is 6’2″ and also weighs in at 185 lbs, aims to improve his record of 15 wins and 3 losses. Pyfer possesses a reach of 75 inches. In terms of striking statistics, Adesanya connects on an average of 4.02 significant strikes per minute, whereas Pyfer lands 3.47 significant strikes per minute. Adesanya has an accuracy rate of 48% for significant strikes, while Pyfer’s accuracy stands at 43%. Defensively, Adesanya absorbs 3.20 significant strikes per minute compared to Pyfer’s 3.05. Adesanya successfully defends against 55% of incoming significant strikes, whereas Pyfer manages to defend 53%.

UFC Predictions: Adesanya vs Pyfer
UFC Seattle Israel Adesanya Joe Pyfer
Opening Odds -150 +130
Fight Record 24-5-0 15-3-0
Average Fight Duration 17:35 8:10
Height 6’4″ 6’2″
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 80″ 75″
Strikes Per Minute 4.02 3.47
Striking Efficiency 48% 43%

When it comes to takedowns, Adesanya isn’t known for his wrestling, averaging only 0.05 takedowns per 15 minutes and succeeding in 11% of his attempts while defending against 76% of his opponents’ takedowns. In contrast, Pyfer lands successful takedowns at a rate of 33% and defends against 50% of takedown attempts. Regarding submission attempts, Adesanya averages 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds, while Pyfer attempts 1.0 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his latest match, Adesanya faced Nassourdine Imavov, suffering a loss due to a punch to the head in round 2. Imavov recorded 18 of 34 total strikes, while Adesanya managed to land 32 out of 56 total strikes. Significant strikes showed Imavov landing 15 out of 31, resulting in a 48% success rate. Adesanya hit back with 52% accuracy, landing 26 of 50. Notably, 100% of Adesanya’s significant strikes were connected at distance.

Joe Pyfer’s previous bout was against Abus Magomedov, where he secured a victory via rear-naked choke in the second round. In that match, Magomedov landed 27% of his significant strikes while Pyfer connected on 50% of his attempts. Pyfer accurately landed 6 out of 10 significant strikes targeting the head, while Magomedov achieved an impressive 11 out of 12 significant strikes, connecting on 6 of 7 aimed at the head. Overall, Magomedov’s total strikes were 18 of 21, while Pyfer recorded 13 out of 18.

Highlight Fights on the Card

Another exciting match to watch will feature Michael Chiesa battling Niko Price. Chiesa enters the Octagon with a record of 19-7-0. At 38 years old, he weighs 170 lbs and stands 6’1″ tall, with a reach of 75″. Niko Price, at 36 years old, is 6’0″ and also fights at 170 lbs, holding a record of 16-10-0 with 2 no contests. Price boasts a reach of 76″. In terms of takedown statistics, Chiesa averages 3.05 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Price manages to secure a takedown less frequently at 0.98 times per 15 minutes. For striking, Chiesa delivers 2.03 strikes per minute with a 40% accuracy rate, while Price strikes 5.13 times per minute with 43% accuracy.

Another matchup not to miss is Lerryan Douglas against Julian Erosa. Erosa, with a record of 31-13-0, enters the Octagon at 145 lbs and stands 6’1″. His reach is 74 inches. Douglas, on the other hand, measures 5’9″ and also weighs in at 145 lbs. He aims to uplift his record of 13-5-0. Erosa has a takedown defense rate of 61% and successfully completes 43% of his takedown attempts, while Douglas completes 15% of his takedown attempts and defends against 15% of them. When it comes to blows, Erosa absorbs 6.27 strikes per minute while delivering 6.21, while Douglas absorbs and deals 5.00 and 11.67 strikes per minute, respectively.

Who will claim victory in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Recommendation: Bet on Israel Adesanya (-150)

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Pick: Israel Adesanya (-150)
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