Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+102) Boston (-122)
The Miami Marlins (58-62) are set to visit Fenway Park this Saturday for a clash against the Boston Red Sox (66-56). Betting odds place the Marlins at +102 and the Red Sox at -122, with the over/under for the game established at 8 runs. Pitching duties will be handled by Cal Quantrill for Miami and Brayan Bello for Boston.
This season, the Miami Marlins have posted a slugging percentage of .397 with a total of 946 strikeouts and 366 walks. They’ve accrued 501 RBIs from 1,033 hits, leading to a batting average of .252. The team has recorded 201 doubles and 117 home runs, making for a total of 521 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .316. Averaging 4.3 runs per contest, the Marlins currently rank 17th in the league.
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With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56, the Marlins’ pitching staff maintains a collective WHIP of 1.30. They have allowed 134 home runs and a total of 573 runs this season, ranking 24th in MLB. The pitching unit has given up 1,015 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 534 earned runs, accumulating an overall ERA of 4.52 (24th in baseball). Additionally, the staff has struck out a total of 947 hitters while walking 370 batters, resulting in a FIP of 4.16 for the year.
The Marlins’ relief pitchers have taken the mound with players on base 89 times and have appeared in 125 high-leverage situations. This season, the bullpen has achieved 66 holds (ranking 18th in baseball), with a save percentage of 60.4%, after entering 115 save opportunities. Out of 48 chances, they have successfully completed 29 saves while failing on 19. The bullpen has inherited 129 base runners, with 31.0% crossing the plate. This year, the Marlins have dispatched 371 relievers to the mound.
Defensively, the Marlins have converted 69.7% of batted balls into outs over 9,579 innings, placing them 16th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the league with 3,193 putouts, boasting 1,030 assists alongside 59 errors and a fielding rate of .986, ranking 17th in the league, with a total of 84 double plays executed.
Cal Quantrill, holding a career record of 47-43, has faced 3,513 batters in major league baseball. He has allowed 825 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and recorded 263 walks. Quantrill’s ERA stands at 4.20 (with 385 earned runs), and his WHIP is 1.319. Over 825 innings pitched, he has struck out 617 hitters to date.
Meanwhile, the Boston Red Sox boast a total of 149 home runs and 588 runs batted in for the season. They have achieved 250 doubles and walked 397 times, accumulating 614 runs. The team’s OBP stands at .325, with a .254 batting average this season. They possess a slugging percentage of .430 and are averaging 5.03 runs per game (ranking 5th in MLB). The Red Sox have struck out 1,087 times (3rd in the league) and have totaled 1,065 hits.
The Red Sox staff has a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 4.02 throughout the year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.20 (1,000 strikeouts against 407 walks). Ranking 21st in MLB for total hits allowed, they’ve conceded 1,013 hits and 123 home runs, averaging 4.30 runs allowed per 9 innings (15th in baseball). They have allowed 521 runs this season, holding an ERA of 3.75 (with 454 earned runs).
In terms of the bullpen, the Red Sox have appeared in 120 save situations this year, achieving 64 holds despite 22 blown saves. They have opted for bullpen pitchers in 54 save opportunities and recorded 32 saves. The Red Sox’s relievers have taken the field in 146 high-leverage instances and 121 times with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage is 30.7% from 163 base runners. Currently, they hold a 59.3% save rate, ranking 22nd in baseball, and have dispatched 397 relievers so far this season.
Throughout 9,819 innings played, the Red Sox’s defensive efficiency is at 68.9%, placing them 24th in the majors. With 101 double plays and a fielding percentage of .979 (the lowest in MLB), they have achieved 1,117 assists, 96 errors, and recorded a total of 3,273 putouts this season.
In his MLB career, Brayan Bello has allowed 509 hits while striking out 435 batters over 497 innings. Bello (with a career record of 36-33) holds an earned run average of 4.14, allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up 229 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.387, alongside a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.40, having faced 2,152 hitters during his career.
Who will secure victory in this evening’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Take Miami (+102)
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