Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan Fight Predictions, 04/04/2026 UFC Vegas 115 Odds

• Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan
• UFC Vegas 115
• Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV
• Saturday, April 4, 2026

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Renato Moicano is set to clash with Chris Duncan at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The betting odds have Moicano listed at +130, while Duncan is favored at -150.

Moicano enters this fight with a professional record of 20 wins, 7 losses, and 1 draw. The 36-year-old fighter weighs 155 pounds and stands 5’11” tall with a reach of 72 inches. In contrast, Chris “The Problem” Duncan is 5’10” and weighs the same at 155 pounds, boasting a record of 15 wins and 2 losses. He has a 71-inch reach. In terms of striking, Moicano averages 4.17 significant strikes per minute, while Duncan lands 5.02. Moicano has a striking accuracy of 48%, whereas Duncan’s accuracy is at 46%. Defensively, Moicano absorbs 3.57 significant strikes per minute and successfully deflects 59% of incoming strikes, compared to Duncan, who absorbs 4.82 strikes but defends against 51% of significant strikes.

Looking at grappling statistics, Renato Moicano is less aggressive, securing takedowns 1.67 times per three rounds. He lands 41% of his takedown attempts and defends against 62% of the takedowns aimed at him. Chris Duncan shows a slightly better takedown rate at 42%, with a defense rate of 50%. When it comes to submission attempts, Moicano tries 0.5 submissions per three rounds, while Duncan attempts 0.7 submissions in the same time frame.

In his most recent outing, Renato Moicano faced Beneil Dariush, suffering a unanimous decision defeat in round 3. Dariush managed to land 77 out of 131 total strikes, while Moicano connected with 38 of 69. In significant strikes, Dariush achieved 56 of 107, resulting in a 52% accuracy rate. Conversely, Moicano landed 31 of 61 significant strikes, marking a 50% success rate. A large majority of both fighters’ significant strikes were landed at distance—83% for Dariush and 80% for Moicano.

In Chris Duncan’s latest fight, he scored a victory against Terrance McKinney via anaconda choke in round 1. Despite McKinney landing 77% of his significant strikes from distance, Duncan responded well, connecting with 69% of his attempts, including 36 out of 51 targeted at the head. McKinney managed to land 31 out of 57 significant strikes in total.

Notable Upcoming Fights

Keep an eye on the matchup between Azamat Bekoev and Tresean Gore. Bekoev aims to improve his record of 20-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6’0″ tall, with a reach of 72″. Gore, also at 6’0″ and weighing 185 lbs, seeks to add a win to his current record of 6-4-0 with a reach of 75 inches. Bekoev boasts 4.49 takedowns per three rounds at a striking accuracy of 45%, while Gore lands 2.76 strikes per minute with a 42% accuracy rate.

Don’t miss the fight where Brendson Ribeiro squares off against Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev. Yakhyaev, undefeated at 8-0-0, is 25 years old, weighs 205 lbs, and stands 6’2″ with a reach of 78″. Ribeiro, standing 6’3″ and weighing the same, has a record of 17-9-0 (1 NC), with an 81-inch reach. Yakhyaev has showcased exceptional grappling skills, defending 100% of takedown attempts and completing all his takedown efforts. Meanwhile, Ribeiro completes 42% of his takedown attempts while stopping 18% of those aimed at him. Striking statistics reveal that Yakhyaev absorbs 0.95 strikes per minute while landing 20.95, whereas Ribeiro absorbs 4.00 and lands 3.06 strikes per minute.

Who will prevail in tonight’s highly anticipated UFC match against the spread?

Pick: Bet on Renato Moicano (+130)