Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Event Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcast: Sportsnet
Betting Odds: Texas (+106) Toronto (-128)
The Texas Rangers (61-61) are set to visit the Rogers Centre on Sunday as they face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (71-51). The moneyline has Texas listed at +106, while Toronto stands at -128. The over/under for this matchup is established at 8 runs. Pitching will feature Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers and Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays.
This season, the Rangers have amassed 183 doubles and launched 126 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .375, they have struck out 1,011 times and walked 363 times. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, Texas ranks 25th in Major League Baseball, contributing to their total of 473 RBIs and 944 hits, culminating in a batting average of .232. They have scored 495 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .299.
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The Rangers feature a K/BB ratio of 2.76, and their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.17. They have allowed 121 home runs and 438 runs this season (1st in the league). Texas pitchers have given up 911 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 401 earned runs, showcasing an earned run average of 3.32, leading the MLB. The staff has recorded 1,000 strikeouts, walked 362 batters, and holds a team FIP of 3.82 for the season.
Rangers relief pitchers have faced runners on base 127 times and participated in 144 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has achieved 66 holds this year, ranking 19th in MLB. With a 55.8% save rate, they’ve entered 121 save opportunities, recording 29 saves out of 52 attempts. This season, they have inherited 176 base runners, with 31.3% scoring. The Rangers have utilized 382 relievers in this campaign.
With 3,259 putouts, 1,054 assists, and 41 errors, Texas holds a .991 fielding percentage, ranking 1st in baseball, including 96 double plays. They convert 72.3% of balls in play into outs over 9,777 innings, leading the major leagues.
Eovaldi, with a career record of 101-84, has a FIP of 3.85 after facing 7,073 hitters. He’s given up 1,652 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 466 walks. His earned run average sits at 3.91 (733 earned runs), boasting a WHIP of 1.255. Over 1,688 innings, he has accumulated 1,472 strikeouts in his MLB career.
The Blue Jays are enjoying a team slugging percentage of .426 and score an average of 4.84 runs per game (7th in baseball). They’ve recorded 221 doubles, drawn 403 walks, and scored a total of 591 runs. Toronto has hit 140 home runs this season while also registering 567 RBIs. They have struck out 816 times (30th in MLB) and accumulated 1,116 hits, boasting an on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .268.
On the pitching side, the Blue Jays have yielded 545 runs this season with an earned run average of 4.21 (506 earned runs). They have permitted 164 homers and average 4.54 runs allowed per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The team WHIP stands at 1.257 with a FIP of 4.31. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 9.00 (1,081 strikeouts to 384 walks), ranking them 11th in MLB for total hits allowed, at 975.
The Toronto bullpen has a 29.5% inherited runner scoring rate out of 183 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 122 times in crucial situations and 125 times with runners on base. Accumulating 131 save chances, the Blue Jays have tallied 75 holds and 19 blown saves, ranking 10th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.8%. They have deployed 418 relievers this season, with 54 save opportunities resulting in 35 successful saves.
In terms of defensive efficiency, the Blue Jays post a rating of 70.4% (12th in baseball) over 9,735 innings, having turned 85 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in the league). They have accumulated 893 assists, committed 66 errors, and achieved a total of 3,245 putouts this season.
Throughout his professional career, Berrios has allowed 1,444 hits and struck out 1,462 batters across 1,547 innings. He has permitted 695 earned runs and maintains a WHIP of 1.234 with a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.14, having faced 6,499 hitters. With a career record of 108-81, he holds an earned run average of 4.04, yielding 8.4 hits per 9 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Texas (+106)
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