Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction for 8/18/2025: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction for 8/18/2025: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday, August 18, 2025

Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-196), Arizona (+162)

On Monday, the Arizona Diamondbacks (60-62) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (63-57) at Chase Field. The current odds reflect the Guardians at -196 and the Diamondbacks at +162, with an over/under set at 8 runs. Expected starters for the matchup are Gavin Williams and Zac Gallen.

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The Cleveland Guardians are currently averaging 4.0 runs per game, ranking 26th in the league. They have recorded 483 runs with an on-base percentage of .301. The team has also achieved 181 doubles and hit 128 home runs, resulting in 464 RBIs and 901 hits this season, with a batting average of .229. Cleveland’s slugging percentage stands at .378, with 981 strikeouts and 379 walks recorded thus far.

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With a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.87, the Guardians rank 14th in MLB. The staff has struck out 1,009 batters while allowing 130 home runs and 505 runs (12th in the league). They have issued 428 walks, resulting in a collective FIP of 4.12 this season. Cleveland has permitted 967 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 460 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and a WHIP of 1.31.

This season, Guardians relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 106 times, appearing in critical situations 141 times. They have achieved 85 holds (2nd in MLB) and a save rate of 69.2%, with 140 save opportunities leading to 36 successful saves, while blowing 16 out of 52. The bullpen has inherited 148 runners, with 34.5% scoring against them. The Guardians have utilized 402 relievers so far this season.

Defensively, Cleveland has converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs over 9,618 innings, placing them 17th in MLB. The team has recorded 3,206 putouts and 981 assists while committing 81 errors for a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB), including 88 double plays.

Starting pitcher Gavin Williams has thrown 286 innings, striking out 287 batters in his career. With a career record of 13-19, he maintains a FIP of 3.69 and has faced 1,218 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.74 (119 earned runs allowed), and he carries a career WHIP of 1.311, allowing 239 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) alongside 136 walks.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit 173 home runs this season alongside 590 RBIs. They have achieved 215 doubles while recording 423 walks, totaling 603 runs. With an on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .251, the Diamondbacks have a slugging percentage of .442, scoring 4.94 runs per game (6th in the league). They have struck out 962 times (21st in MLB) and amassed 1,034 hits.

As a pitching staff, Arizona has a WHIP of 1.339 and a FIP of 4.30. They have a K/BB ratio of 8.20, with 988 strikeouts against 385 walks. The Diamondbacks rank low for hits allowed, with 1,069 this season, and have conceded 151 home runs, giving up 4.91 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). Their overall ERA is 4.52, allowing 545 earned runs.

In 120 save situations, Arizona’s bullpen has secured 61 holds along with 22 blown saves. Their pitchers have faced 55 save chances resulting in 33 successful saves. The bullpen has stepped up in high leverage situations 114 times and encountered runners on base 100 times. The inherited scoring rate stands at 31.3% for 128 inherited base runners, making their save percentage 60.0%. The team has used 371 bullpen pitchers this season.

The Diamondbacks have a defensive efficiency of 69.1% after 9,774 innings, ranking 23rd in the league. They have turned 94 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in baseball). They have accumulated 1,074 assists, made 62 errors, and recorded 3,258 putouts this season.

In his career, Gallen has given up 810 hits while amassing 1,016 strikeouts over 959 innings pitched. With a career record of 62-49, he maintains a 3.59 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 383 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.168, and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.28, having faced 3,950 batters during his professional career.

Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay’s Pundit’s Pick: Back Arizona (+162) and the under on 8 runs

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