Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Monday, August 18, 2025
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
TV: Marquee
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-132) Chicago (+110)
In an exciting matchup, the Chicago Cubs (68-52) will host the Milwaukee Brewers (76-44) at Wrigley Field this Monday. The moneyline for this encounter reflects the Brewers at -132, while the Cubs open at +110. The total runs for the game is set at 8. Expected starting pitchers are Freddy Peralta and Cade Horton.
The Brewers have recorded 188 doubles this season and launched 127 home runs. They possess a slugging percentage of .405, with 946 strikeouts and 411 walks drawn. Overall, the Milwaukee Brewers are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking second in the league. With 578 RBIs and 1,052 total hits, their batting average currently sits at .259, contributing to an impressive 620 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .332.
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The Brewers have a K/BB ratio of 2.61, while their pitching staff boasts a collective WHIP of 1.23. They have allowed 131 home runs and 461 runs this year, ranking third in the league. Milwaukee has issued 918 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) alongside 426 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 3.59, also third in the league, with pitchers striking out 1,036 batters. The staff has walked 397 hitters, contributing to a FIP of 4.00 this season.
So far, the Brewers have utilized 408 relievers. These bullpen pitchers have inherited 160 runners, with a 30.6% scoring rate. They’ve recorded 34 saves this season, missing out on 12 of their 46 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 73.9%. They have entered 132 save situations and achieved 82 holds this season, ranking fifth in baseball. Their relief pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 105 times and have made 133 high-leverage appearances.
The Miami Marlins have tallied 3,205 putouts alongside 972 assists and 56 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .987, ranking 12th in MLB, with 86 double plays turned. The Brewers are converting 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs across 9,615 innings, positioning them fourth in the majors.
Freddy Peralta (career record of 67-41) maintains a FIP of 3.60, having faced 3,696 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 673 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and issued 344 walks. His career ERA is 3.66 (362 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.142. Over 890 innings pitched, Peralta has recorded 1,097 strikeouts.
The Chicago Cubs feature an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .252. They have struck out 933 times (27th in MLB) while amassing 1,036 hits. With 170 home runs and 589 RBIs, the Cubs post a team slugging percentage of .434, scoring an average of 5.04 runs per game, ranking fourth in the league. They have hit 199 doubles, drawn 403 walks, and scored a total of 605 runs.
Chicago’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.207 and a FIP of 4.19 this season. The team’s K/BB ratio is 7.70 (906 strikeouts to 306 walks). They stand 12th in the league for hits allowed, having given up 978. Their pitchers have conceded 149 home runs and allow 4.14 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB), resulting in a total of 490 runs and a team ERA of 3.86 (456 earned runs).
The Cubs’ bullpen has entered the game in 40 save situations, securing 27 saves, which gives them a save rate of 67.5%, ranking sixth in the league. Over the course of the season, they have called upon 391 relief pitchers. Their bullpen has made 111 high-leverage appearances and entered 81 times with runners on base. Their inherited runner scoring percentage stands at 31.0%, with the Cubs collecting 78 holds and experiencing 13 blown saves in 121 save situations.
In 9,582 innings of play, the Cubs boast a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (3rd in MLB). They have turned 95 double plays with a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in the majors). The team recorded 1,002 assists, 50 errors, and achieved 3,194 putouts this season.
Cade Horton (7-3 career record) sports a 3.07 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.48, having faced 347 hitters in his MLB journey. He has allowed 29 earned runs, recorded a WHIP of 1.176, and a FIP of 3.0. Horton has given up 73 hits and recorded 67 strikeouts over 85 innings pitched thus far in his professional career.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Milwaukee (-132)
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