- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-145) | Tampa Bay Rays (+125)
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The New York Yankees (8-4) are set to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays (5-7) at Tropicana Field this Saturday. The Yankees are favored at -145 on the moneyline, while the Rays start at +125. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9. Max Fried and Steven Matz will be the starting pitchers for their respective teams.
The New York Yankees are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 8th in the MLB. Their total tally stands at 54 runs, with an on-base percentage of .330. The team has recorded 15 doubles and hit 11 home runs thus far. They have 48 RBIs and 77 hits this season, reflecting a batting average of .218. Their slugging percentage is .365, and they have struck out 110 times while drawing 57 walks.
New York exhibits a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.66 and their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.05. Yankees pitchers have allowed 2 home runs and a total of 28 runs (ranking them 1st in MLB). They’ve permitted 74 hits (6.8 per 9 innings), alongside 27 earned runs, leading to a season earned run average of 2.47 (2nd in MLB), while striking out 106 batters. Their pitching staff has issued 29 walks, and their FIP stands at 2.30 for the year.
The Yankees have used 42 relief pitchers this season. These relievers have inherited 21 runners, with 23.8% scoring. They’ve secured 8 holds (11th in the league) and have faced opponents with runners on base during 14 occasions, encountering 16 high-leverage situations. This season, the Yankees’ bullpen has converted 5 out of 7 save opportunities, capturing a save percentage of 71.4% in 16 situations.
On defense, the New York Yankees have recorded 295 putouts, 93 assists, and 7 errors. With a fielding percentage of .982, they rank 19th in professional baseball, successfully executing 6 double plays. They’ve converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs across 885 innings, placing them 13th in the league.
Max Fried, boasting a career record of 94-41, holds a FIP of 2.96 and has faced 4,490 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 957 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and issued 302 free passes. His earned run average is 3.00 (367 earned runs allowed), complemented by a WHIP of 1.145. Over 1,099 innings pitched, Fried has amassed 1,066 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 11 home runs and 51 RBIs this season. They’ve marked 16 doubles, drawn 39 walks, and contributed 55 runs on the scoreboard. The Rays currently sit at a team on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .253. Their slugging percentage is .379, averaging 4.58 runs per game (12th in MLB). They rank 29th in strikeouts with 86, notching a total of 106 hits.
On the mound, the Tampa Bay pitching staff has surrendered 69 runs this season, featuring a team ERA of 4.97 (58 earned runs). They’ve conceded 15 home runs, allowing 5.91 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.246, with a team FIP of 4.45 this season. The Rays’ve establish a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (91 strikeouts against 38 walks), positioning them at 14th in MLB for total hits allowed with 93.
The Rays, sitting at 20th in the league, exhibit a save rate of 60.0%. They’ve used 35 bullpen pitchers this season, with relief arms appearing 15 times in high-stakes situations and 11 times with runners on base. In 11 save situations, they’ve recorded 6 holds and experienced 2 blown saves. With 5 opportunities for saves, the Rays bullpen has converted 3 saves, holding a 60.0% inherited score percentage from their 15 inherited runners.
Tampa Bay has a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in MLB) over 948 innings, executing 6 double plays with a fielding rate of .960 (30th in professional baseball). They’ve registered 89 assists, 17 errors, and 316 putouts this season.
Steven Matz, with a career record of 62-62, currently has a 4.19 earned run average, allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings. He presents a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and has faced 4,326 batters throughout his career. Matz has allowed 473 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.1. Throughout his MLB journey, he has given up 1,031 hits while achieving 950 strikeouts in 1,015 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (+125)
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