Sacramento Athletics vs New York Mets Prediction for 4/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Sacramento Athletics vs New York Mets Prediction for 4/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Sacramento Athletics vs New York Mets
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
  • Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
  • Betting Odds: Sacramento (+150), New York (-182)

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The New York Mets (7-5) host the Sacramento Athletics (5-7) at Citi Field this Saturday. With a moneyline set at +150 for the Athletics and -182 for the Mets, the total runs are projected at 9. Jacob Lopez and Kodai Senga are anticipated to be the starting pitchers for this matchup.

MLB betting insights Lawrence Butler Sacramento Athletics projections best bets odds

Offensively, the Sacramento Athletics have been averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 16th in the league. This season, they have scored 46 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .296. The team has hit 16 doubles and launched 10 home runs, totaling 45 RBIs and 84 hits overall, reflecting a batting average of .226. With a slugging percentage at .355, they have struck out 121 times while drawing 38 walks.

On the pitching side, the Athletics carry an earned run average (ERA) of 5.20, placing them 27th in the league. They have recorded 85 strikeouts while giving up 12 home runs and a total of 59 runs (23rd in the league). With 69 walks issued, their fielding independent pitching (FIP) stands at 5.24 for the season. Sacramento’s pitching staff has allowed 97 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and 56 earned runs, generating a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.23 and a WHIP of 1.71.

The Athletics have utilized 40 relievers this year, with the bullpen inheriting 23 base runners; 47.8% of those runners scored. Their bullpen has secured 6 holds this season (19th in MLB), and they’ve found themselves in 13 save situations, converting 2 saves while blowing 5 out of 7 opportunities. The relievers’ save percentage is currently 28.6%.

In the field, the Athletics are converting 68.8% of balls in play into outs across 873 innings, ranking 17th in MLB. The New York Yankees have recorded 291 putouts, 89 assists, and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage holds steady at .992, placing them 6th in the league, along with 11 double plays.

Lopez, who has pitched for 123 innings, boasts 135 strikeouts in his professional career. His ERA stands at 4.38 (60 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.339. He has allowed 109 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and issued 56 walks. Lopez holds an 8-8 career record with a FIP of 4.32, having faced 542 hitters in his major league journey.

The Mets have hit 9 home runs this season alongside 52 RBIs. They’ve recorded 19 doubles while earning 47 walks and scoring a total of 55 runs. The Mets currently have a team OBP of .324 and a batting average of .248. With a slugging percentage of .370, they average 4.58 runs per game (11th in MLB) but have struck out 98 times (26th in the league) with 105 hits overall.

New York’s pitching staff claims a team WHIP of 1.205 and a FIP of 3.19. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at an impressive 8.90 (110 strikeouts to 41 walks) while allowing 93 hits (13th in the league), 7 home runs, and 3.40 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). Overall, their ERA is 2.91 with 42 runs allowed (36 earned runs).

In 7 save situations, the Mets have achieved 4 holds and recorded 1 blown save. The bullpen has faced 3 save opportunities, converting 2 saves, with an inherited score rate of 54.5% for 11 inherited base runners. They’ve appeared 19 times in high-leverage situations and 11 times with runners on base, ranking 16th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, utilizing 36 relief pitchers throughout the season.

Across 1,005 innings, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in major league baseball). They’ve executed 6 double plays with a .987 fielding percentage (12th in MLB). In total, the Mets have registered 114 assists, 6 errors, and 335 putouts this season.

Senga has allowed 231 hits in his professional career while achieving 336 strikeouts over 296 innings. His career includes 99 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.246, and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.43, and he has faced 1,243 opposing hitters. With a career record of 20-14, Senga holds a 3.01 ERA and permits 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, either against the spread or on the moneyline?

Prediction: Bet on New York (-182)

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Pick: New York Mets (-182)
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