Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction for 8/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Home » Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction for 8/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Matchup: Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals

Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Betting Odds: Texas (+102), Kansas City (-122)

The Texas Rangers (62-63) are gearing up for an away game at Kauffman Stadium against the Kansas City Royals (63-61) on Tuesday. The current odds show the Rangers at +102 while the Royals are at -122, with a total set at 9 runs. The anticipated starting pitchers for the game will be Merrill Kelly and Seth Lugo.

MLB predictions: Adam Frazier and Royals' betting odds

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This season, the Rangers have accrued 189 doubles and launched 132 home runs, showcasing a slugging percentage of .378. They have struck out 1,033 times and walked 377 times, averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking 24th in MLB. With a cumulative 490 RBIs and 971 hits to date, their batting average rests at .232, and they have scored 512 runs, maintaining a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .301.

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The Texas pitching staff boasts a season ERA of 3.44, placing them 1st in the league, with 1,021 strikeouts recorded. They have allowed 129 home runs and a total of 462 runs, also ranking 1st in MLB. Their pitchers have issued 371 walks, with a FIP of 3.90 for the season. The Rangers have surrendered 944 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and 425 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.75, and they maintain a collective WHIP of 1.18.

Rangers’ relief pitchers have achieved a save rate of 55.6% in 127 save opportunities. They inherited 184 runners this season, with 31.5% crossing the plate. Texan relievers entered 131 high-leverage situations and have made 393 appearances in critical roles. With 69 holds registered this season (16th in MLB), they have accumulated 30 saves out of 54 opportunities, blowing 24 saves.

Defensively, the Rangers have reported 3,334 putouts, 1,079 assists, and 41 errors, holding a top-tier fielding percentage of .991. They rank 1st in the majors for converting 72.2% of balls in play into outs over 10,002 innings, along with 98 double plays.

Merrill Kelly has pitched 968 innings in his career, achieving 880 strikeouts. His career stats include a win-loss record of 62-51, a FIP of 3.70, and an earned run average (ERA) of 3.76, allowing 404 earned runs throughout his career while facing 3,979 batters. He has given up 864 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 296 walks.

The Kansas City Royals have hit 113 home runs this season, with a total of 463 RBIs. They recorded 221 doubles, walked 316 times, and scored 471 runs, achieving a team OBP of .305 and a batting average of .246. Their slugging percentage is recorded at .390 with an average of 3.80 runs per game, placing them 27th in MLB. The Royals have struck out 853 times (ranked 29th in MLB) and have tallied 1,021 hits.

In terms of pitching, the Royals maintain a team WHIP of 1.240 and a staff FIP of 3.93. They are ranked 8th in the league regarding total hits allowed, having conceded 993 hits and 475 runs for a season ERA of 3.60 (441 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.00, with 977 strikeouts against 376 walks. Additionally, they have surrendered 125 home runs, allowing 3.87 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).

For the season, the Royals have recorded 65 holds and experienced 15 blown saves across 116 save situations. Kansas City’s bullpen has faced 50 save opportunities, successfully converting 35 saves. Their relievers have appeared in 133 high-pressure situations and 123 innings with runners on base. The inherited runner scoring rate stands at 28.0% over 168 inherited runners, ranking 4th in the league with a 70.0% save rate, utilizing 415 relievers throughout the season.

The Royals have turned 96 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB), securing 1,111 assists, 51 errors, and a total of 3,312 putouts throughout the campaign. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.0% across 9,936 innings (6th in MLB).

Seth Lugo has allowed 872 hits while accumulating 939 strikeouts in 978 innings throughout his career. Lugo’s career record stands at 64-46, with a 3.43 ERA and yielding 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 373 earned runs, exhibiting a WHIP of 1.165 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.50 after facing 4,031 opponents during his MLB career.

Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB match-up, against the spread or on the moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Texas (+102)

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