- Game: Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Betting Odds: Seattle (+162) San Diego (-196)
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On Thursday, the San Diego Padres (11-6) are set to face off against the Seattle Mariners (8-10) at Petco Park. The betting line for this encounter shows Seattle at +162, while San Diego is favored at -196. The total runs over/under is placed at 8. Today’s starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Walker Buehler.
The Mariners have collectively hit 20 doubles and launched 16 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .332, they have been struck out 168 times while earning 79 walks. Seattle is averaging 3.9 runs per game, placing them 24th in the league. Across the season, they have gathered 67 RBIs and 119 hits, with a batting average of .205. Their total run count stands at 70, together with a team on-base percentage of .313.
The Mariners have maintained a K/BB ratio of 4.00 with a combined WHIP of 1.07 from their pitching staff. They have conceded 11 home runs and a total of 62 runs (ranking them 7th in MLB). Seattle’s pitching corps has allowed 133 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and 54 earned runs. The Mariners’ earned run average stands at 3.02 this season, ranking 2nd in the league, with 152 strikeouts recorded. They have walked 38 batters, and their FIP is noted at 3.01.
The Mariners’ bullpen has a save percentage of 60.0%, facing 9 save opportunities this season, securing 3 saves while allowing 2 blown saves. Out of 14 inherited runners, 21.4% have scored. The Mariners’ relief staff has faced opponents with runners on base 13 times and been involved in 18 high leverage situations, utilizing 48 different relievers this season, with a mere 4 holds (ranking 28th in MLB).
Defensively, the Mariners have converted 70.1% of balls in play into outs across 1,446 innings, positioning them at 14th in Major League Baseball. The San Francisco Giants currently have 482 putouts, alongside 151 assists and 8 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .988 (ranking 9th in the majors) with 25 double plays turned.
Castillo has logged 1,423 innings in his career, racking up 1,507 strikeouts. He carries an ERA of 3.59 (with 567 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.183, allowing 1,227 base hits (7.8 per nine innings) and recording 457 walks. With an even 84-84 career record, Castillo’s FIP is calculated at 3.53 against 5,886 batters faced in the big leagues.
The Padres have hit 16 home runs this season, tallying 73 RBIs and 35 doubles. They have 61 walks and a total of 78 runs. San Diego’s OBP stands at .310 with a batting average of .233. They feature a team slugging percentage of .388 and an average of 4.59 runs per game (ranking 12th in the league). The Padres have struck out 124 times (28th in baseball) and have registered 131 base hits.
San Diego’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.188 and a FIP of 3.12 this season. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 9.20 (158 strikeouts against 53 walks), placing them 10th in total hits conceded (130). They have given up 10 home runs and have an average of 3.56 runs allowed per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Padres’ collective ERA is 3.27, having surrendered 61 total runs this season.
With 21 save chances, the Padres have achieved 9 holds and missed 5 save opportunities. In 10 save situations, their bullpen has secured 5 saves. The Padres’ relief pitchers have inherited 24 runners with a 50% scoring percentage. They have participated in high leverage situations 17 times and 15 occasions with runners on base, ranking 25th in the league with a 50.0% save percentage, using 56 relievers this season.
The San Diego Padres have turned 18 double plays, achieving a .990 fielding percentage (ranking 5th in baseball). They have recorded 150 assists, 6 errors, and 462 putouts so far this season. Over 1,386 innings played, their defensive efficiency is 69.3% (21st in baseball).
Buehler has allowed 729 base hits while striking out 857 batters over 851 innings. With a career record of 57-30, he boasts a 3.54 ERA, conceding 7.7 hits per 9 innings. Buehler has allowed 335 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.35, facing 3,520 opposing hitters in his career.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on San Diego (-196)
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