- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-152) Boston (+126)
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This Friday at Fenway Park, the Boston Red Sox (7-11) will face off against the Detroit Tigers (9-9). The moneyline for the game shows Detroit at -152 and Boston opening at +126. The total runs have been set at 8.5, with expected starting pitchers Casey Mize and Ranger Suarez taking the mound.
The Detroit Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, placing them 18th in MLB rankings. With a total of 74 runs and an on-base percentage of .322, the Tigers have achieved 32 doubles and hit 13 home runs. They’ve amassed 70 RBIs and recorded 138 hits this season, with a batting average of .237. Their slugging percentage stands at .365, with 151 strikeouts and 67 walks.
The Tigers’ pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.25. The team has allowed 10 home runs and a total of 62 runs, ranking 3rd in MLB. With 126 hits allowed (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and 57 earned runs, Detroit’s staff has an impressive team ERA of 3.35 (6th in the league) and has struck out 137 batters. Their FIP currently stands at 3.65.
This season, Detroit’s bullpen has entered games under pressure 21 times, with 11 high-leverage situations, achieving 7 holds (25th in MLB). They boast a save percentage of 83.3%, having converted 5 of 6 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 37 runners, allowing 35.1% to score, and have used 48 relief pitchers so far.
The Tigers have successfully turned 71.1% of batted balls into outs, ranking them 10th in the league. The Colorado Rockies have recorded 460 putouts, with 149 assists and 12 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981 (23rd in professional baseball), and 16 double plays to their credit.
Casey Mize has pitched 456 innings, achieving 383 strikeouts. He holds a career ERA of 4.18 (yielding 212 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.294, having allowed 463 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) along with 127 walks. With a career record of 24-26, Mize has faced 1,940 major-league batters and has a FIP of 4.12.
The Boston Red Sox are currently posting a slugging percentage of .355 and averaging 4.28 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have recorded 30 doubles, walked 61 times, and scored 77 runs, along with hitting 12 home runs and collecting 74 RBIs. With 160 strikeouts (13th in the league) and 144 base hits, the Red Sox have an OBP of .322 and a batting average of .239 for the season.
The Red Sox pitching team has given up 86 runs this season, boasting a 4.55 ERA (79 earned runs allowed). They’ve allowed 25 home runs and conceded 4.96 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB), with a WHIP of 1.352 and a FIP of 4.92. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.20 (142 strikeouts vs. 68 walks), placing them 17th in total hits allowed (143).
In 15 save situations, Boston has achieved 10 holds but also recorded 2 blown saves. Calling upon bullpen pitchers in 5 save opportunities, they have converted 3 of those saves, with an inherited score percentage of 28.6% from 21 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have gotten involved 18 times in high-leverage situations and 14 times with runners on base, earning a save rate of 60.0% (18th in the league) with a total of 57 bullpen arms this season.
Over 1,407 innings, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (12th in professional baseball). They have completed 11 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .978 (27th in MLB), with 165 assists, 14 errors, and 469 putouts recorded this season.
In his career, Ranger Suarez has allowed 744 hits while racking up 716 strikeouts across 776 innings. He has permitted 294 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.274 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.92, having faced 3,257 batters in the majors, holding a 54-38 career win-loss record and a 3.41 ERA, giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Boston (+126)
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