- Matchup: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee Network
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (+125) vs Chicago Cubs (-150)
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This exciting encounter will see the Chicago Cubs (9-9) face off against the New York Mets (7-12) at the iconic Wrigley Field. The moneyline has the Mets listed at +125, while the Cubs hold a -150 line. The over/under for this match is set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for the game will be Kodai Senga and Edward Cabrera.
The Mets have collectively hit 24 doubles and launched 14 home runs this season. New York’s slugging percentage stands at .331, with 156 strikeouts and 58 walks recorded. The team is averaging a low 3.4 runs per game, which places them 27th in Major League Baseball. They’ve accumulated 62 RBIs from 142 hits, owning a batting average of .220 and scoring a total of 65 runs, alongside a team on-base percentage of .286.
New York’s pitching staff has an overall walk-to-strikeout ratio of 2.66 and a combined WHIP of 1.27. The Mets have yielded 16 home runs and a total of 79 runs, ranking 14th in MLB. They’ve allowed 152 hits (averaging 8.0 per 9 innings) and 73 earned runs all season. Their team ERA is 3.83, placing them 11th in the league, with 173 strikeouts recorded so far. They’ve walked 65 batters, while their FIP stands at 3.56.
The bullpen has appeared in 15 high-leverage situations and has a total of 4 holds, ranking them 29th in the league. The Mets have a save conversion rate of 50.0%, having successfully closed out 2 out of 4 save opportunities. This season, they’ve inherited 16 runners, with 50% scoring. A total of 53 pitchers have taken the mound for New York this season.
On defense, the Mets have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 20th in the league. They’ve recorded 515 putouts, 174 assists, and committed 9 errors, which gives them a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 14th in professional baseball. The team has also executed 10 double plays.
Kodai Senga has a career total of 299 innings pitched with 339 strikeouts. He maintains a 3.19 ERA (106 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.268, having allowed 239 hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 140 walks. With a 20-15 career record, Senga has faced 1,260 batters, boasting a FIP of 3.14.
The Chicago Cubs have established an on-base percentage of .341 and a batting average of .248 for the season. They have struck out 160 times (14th in MLB) and accumulated 153 hits. The Cubs have hit 19 home runs and recorded 84 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is at .386, and they score an impressive 5.22 runs per game, positioning them 7th in the league. With 28 doubles, they’ve drawn 85 walks and scored 94 runs this season.
Chicago’s pitching staff retains a WHIP of 1.150 and a team FIP of 4.23 this season. They rank 4th in MLB for total hits allowed, having given up 128 hits. The pitching unit has allowed 75 runs and holds an ERA of 3.88, with 69 earned runs recorded. The K/BB ratio sits at an admirable 8.70 (155 strikeouts to 56 walks). They have surrendered 22 home runs, yielding 4.22 runs per 9 innings, which ranks them 12th in MLB.
With a save rate of 40.0%, the Cubs rank 29th in the league, having utilized 55 relievers throughout the season. Their bullpen has stepped into 14 high-leverage situations and 19 appearances with inherited base runners. In 7 save chances, they’ve achieved 2 holds and 3 blown saves. The Cubs’ relievers have entered 5 save opportunities, securing 2 saves, while inheriting a score rate of 26.9% from 26 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Cubs have achieved a 73.1% efficiency rating over 1,440 innings, placing them 2nd in pro baseball. They’ve executed 14 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .988, placing them 11th in the league. The Cubs have recorded 159 assists, 8 errors, and a total of 480 putouts this season.
Edward Cabrera (26-29 career record) has a 3.98 ERA and allows 7.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.18, and he has faced 1,910 batters in his career. Cabrera has permitted 198 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 3.90. Throughout his career, he has allowed 359 hits while tallying 491 strikeouts over 447 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown—can the Mets or Cubs deliver against the spread or on the moneyline?
Expert Pick: Bet on New York (+125)
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