Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies
Event Date: Wednesday, August 20, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Betting Odds: Seattle (+172) Philadelphia (-210)
On Wednesday, the Seattle Mariners (68-58) will visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (72-53). The betting odds for this matchup list Seattle at +172, while Philadelphia stands at -210. The total runs are projected at 8, with Luis Castillo and Jesus Luzardo set to take the mound.
The Seattle Mariners are averaging 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league. To date, they have recorded 576 runs, with an on-base percentage of .320. The Mariners have hit 171 doubles and belted 178 home runs. They’ve driven in 552 runs with a total of 1,046 hits, achieving a batting average of .244 and slugging .411. Seattle has 1,123 strikeouts and 425 walks this season.
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Seattle’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.85, while their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.25. The Mariners have allowed 150 home runs and a total of 550 runs, ranking 17th in MLB. They surrendered 1,046 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) while allowing 496 earned runs. Seattle’s team earned run average stands at 3.92 this season, placing them 14th league-wide, and their pitchers have struck out 1,075 batters. They have issued 377 walks, and their FIP is calculated at 4.08 this year.
In 2025, Mariners relievers have been used 423 times with 113 inherited runners, allowing 26.5% to score. They have achieved 33 saves out of 53 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 62.3%. With 69 holds, the bullpen sits at 14th in the league, while entering games with runners on base 105 times and 174 high-leverage situations.
Defensively, the Mariners convert 70.5% of balls in play into outs over their 10,254 innings, ranking them 10th in the majors. The team has registered 3,418 putouts, 1,052 assists, and 51 errors for a fielding percentage of .989, putting them in 4th place, along with 91 double plays executed.
In his career, Castillo has pitched 1,372 innings, achieving 1,456 strikeouts and holds an 81-82 record. With a FIP of 3.50 against 5,674 batters, his career ERA is 3.55, allowing 541 earned runs and 1,176 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings), along with 445 walks.
The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .418 and score an average of 4.70 runs per game, placing them 9th in the league. They have totaled 207 doubles, walked 409 times, and scored 587 runs, along with 151 home runs and 562 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,006 times (19th in MLB) and recorded 1,086 hits, establishing an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .255 this season.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 499 runs, maintaining an ERA of 3.78 (466 earned runs allowed). They’ve allowed 136 home runs and 4.05 runs per nine innings, ranking 5th in MLB. With a WHIP of 1.234 and a team FIP of 3.68, they have tallied a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (1,134 strikeouts vs. 335 walks) while ranking 19th in hits allowed with 1,035 hits.
The Phillies have entered 110 save situations, resulting in 58 holds and 18 blown saves. They have produced 33 saves from 51 opportunities, with relievers participating in 123 high-leverage moments and 82 instances with base runners. The inherited scoring rate for Philadelphia’s bullpen stands at 31.9% out of 119 inherited runners, earning a 64.7% save rate, ranking 10th in MLB, having used 383 bullpen pitchers this year.
With a fielding percentage of .990, the Philadelphia Phillies rank 3rd in the majors, amassing 78 double plays, 1,080 assists, 45 errors, and 3,331 putouts this season. They have a defensive efficiency rate of 69.2% over 9,993 innings, placing them 22nd in professional baseball.
Throughout his professional career, Luzardo has given up 599 hits while achieving 717 strikeouts in 651 innings pitched. His career record of 37-40 comes with a 4.27 ERA, with 8.3 hits allowed per nine innings. He has yielded 309 earned runs and carries a WHIP of 1.270 along with a FIP of 4.2 and a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 against 2,734 batters faced.
Who will emerge victorious in this evening’s MLB matchup? Will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Pick Philadelphia (-210)
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