- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Odds/Point Spread: New York Yankees (-144) Boston Red Sox (+120)
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On Tuesday, the Boston Red Sox (8-13) will face off against the New York Yankees (13-9) at Fenway Park. The betting odds list the Yankees at -144 and the Red Sox at +120, with a total set at 9 runs. The starters for this matchup will be Luis Gil and Connelly Early.
The New York Yankees are averaging 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 10th in the league. They have scored a total of 110 runs and maintain an on-base percentage (OBP) of .323. The team has hit 32 doubles and 32 home runs so far this season, accumulating 103 RBIs and 155 hits, which results in a batting average of .218. With a slugging percentage of .410, the Yankees have struck out 203 times while drawing 109 walks.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.17. They’ve allowed 18 home runs and 82 runs so far this season, ranking 6th in the league. The Yankees have permitted 168 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and 74 earned runs, giving them a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.40 (6th in MLB) with 201 strikeouts. They have walked 60 batters this season, resulting in a team FIP of 3.33.
So far this season, the Yankees have used 73 relief pitchers, with relievers having inherited 36 baserunners; 33.3% scored. They have recorded 9 holds, ranking 26th in baseball, and have experienced 21 save situations this year, converting 6 for a 54.5% save rate.
Defensively, the Yankees have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs in their 1,761 innings, placing them 19th in MLB. The New York team has made 587 putouts, registered 194 assists, and committed 12 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985, which is 18th among major league teams. They have executed 13 double plays.
Starter Luis Gil holds a career record of 20-10 with a FIP of 3.57 over 1,070 batters faced. He has allowed 184 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and 136 walks. His ERA stands at 3.62 (101 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.275. Across 251 innings pitched, Gil has accumulated 262 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .341 and average 3.86 runs per game, placing them 24th in the league. They’ve hit 36 doubles, registered 69 walks, and tallied 81 runs. Boston has also recorded 13 home runs and 77 RBIs, while striking out 191 times (12th in MLB) and achieving 159 hits. Their OBP is .310 along with a batting average of .228 this season.
The Boston pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.325 and a FIP of 4.75. They are ranked 8th for total hits allowed, with 167, and have given up 96 runs, posting a team ERA of 4.35 (89 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 8.00, with 163 strikeouts against 77 walks, while yielding 28 home runs and allowing 4.69 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).
Boston’s bullpen has an inherited scoring rate of 28.6% from 21 inherited runners and has made 20 high leverage appearances, with 15 situations involving baserunners. They have a save rate of 60.0%, recording 10 holds and 2 blown saves while using 64 different relievers this season.
The Red Sox have executed 12 double plays this season, with a fielding percentage of .982, standing 24th in the league. They have recorded 202 assists, committed 14 errors, and managed 553 putouts in 1,659 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (6th in MLB).
During his career, Early has allowed 32 hits with 49 strikeouts over 38 innings pitched. He has given up 10 earned runs, keeping a WHIP of 1.201 and a FIP of 2.3, along with a K/BB ratio of 3.50. Early has faced 163 opposing batters with a 2-2 win-loss record and a 2.35 ERA with 7.5 hits allowed per 9 innings.
Who will take the win in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Boston (+120)
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