Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals Prediction, 8/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

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Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Thursday, August 21, 2025

Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Betting Odds: Texas (+125) Kansas City (-150)

The Kansas City Royals (65-61) are set to face the Texas Rangers (62-65) at Kauffman Stadium this Thursday. The current odds favor Texas at +125 and Kansas City at -150. The over/under line is established at 8.5 runs, with Patrick Corbin and Michael Lorenzen as the starting pitchers.

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The Texas Rangers have posted a slugging percentage of .378, with 1,038 strikeouts and 377 walks this season. They’ve accumulated 493 RBIs and recorded 982 hits, leading to a batting average of .233. The Rangers have produced 190 doubles and belted 132 home runs, resulting in a total of 515 runs and a team OBP of .301. Texas averages 4.1 runs per game, ranking 24th in MLB.

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The Rangers maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.74 and their pitching unit has achieved a WHIP of 1.19. Rangers hurlers have allowed 132 home runs and a total of 466 runs (leading in MLB). They’ve conceded 952 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and allowed 429 earned runs, resulting in a season ERA of 3.45 (best in MLB). The pitching staff has recorded 1,031 strikeouts and issued 376 walks, with a FIP of 3.92 overall this year.

Texas’s bullpen has entered games with runners on base 132 times and faced 145 high-leverage situations, resulting in 69 holds (16th in MLB). The bullpen has a save percentage of 55.6%, with 127 save opportunities, converting 30 saves but blowing 24 chances. They’ve inherited 186 runners this season, with 31.2% scoring. A total of 397 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Texas this year.

The Rangers successfully convert 72.2% of balls in play into outs over 10,074 innings, ranking first in MLB. They’ve recorded 3,358 putouts, 1,085 assists, and committed 41 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .991, placing them first in professional baseball, with 99 double plays completed.

Corbin has pitched 2,011 innings in his MLB career, accumulating 1,828 strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 109-140, he presents a FIP of 4.44 against 8,655 batters faced. His ERA stands at 4.51 (1,008 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is at 1.373. Corbin has surrendered 2,143 hits (averaging 9.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 619 walks.

The Kansas City Royals possess an OBP of .305 with a team batting average of .246. They have struck out 863 times (29th in MLB) and tallied 1,029 hits, alongside 116 home runs and 467 RBIs. Their team slugging percentage is .391, averaging 3.80 runs per game (28th in MLB). Kansas City has 221 doubles and drawn 321 walks, scoring a total of 475 runs.

The Kansas City pitching staff has allowed 478 runs this season, with an ERA of 3.59 (444 earned runs). They have given up 125 home runs and conceded 3.87 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Royals have a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 3.92 as a staff in this season, with a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (982 strikeouts against 376 walks). They rank 8th in MLB in total hits allowed, totaling 1,004 hits.

Kansas City bullpen pitchers have entered 51 save opportunities, converting 36 saves, and ranking 4th in MLB with a save rate of 70.6%. Over the season, 418 relief pitchers have taken the mound. The relief corps has appeared in 134 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 124 times, with an inherited score percentage of 27.8% from 169 inherited runners. In 119 save opportunities, the Royals recorded 67 holds with 15 blown saves.

The Royals have executed 99 double plays with a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). They’ve logged 1,119 assists, 51 errors, and registered 3,339 putouts this season. In 10,017 innings played, the Royals maintain a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (7th in MLB).

Lorenzen (52-52 career record) has a 4.04 ERA and allows 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.08, having faced 4,049 batters throughout his MLB career. He has given up a total of 430 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.311, and a FIP of 4.0. Throughout his career, Lorenzen has allowed 876 hits while acquiring 787 strikeouts over 957 innings pitched.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Kansas City (-150)

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