- Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: NBC
- Betting Odds: Minnesota (+10.0)
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The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) head into Ball Arena this Monday to face off against the Denver Nuggets (54-28) in the fifth game of their first-round series. Minnesota currently leads the series 3-1 and enters this matchup as 10.0-point underdogs. The total over/under is set at 222 points.
In Game 4, the Timberwolves secured a convincing win with a score of 112-96. Minnesota shot 43.8%, going 39 for 89 from the field, and made 9 of 25 from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, they achieved a remarkable 96.2%, hitting 25 out of 26 shots. On the boards, they accumulated 50 rebounds, including 16 offensive. The Timberwolves also recorded 22 assists and managed to force the Nuggets into 10 turnovers while collecting 6 steals. Defensively, Minnesota limited Denver to 37.9% shooting (33 of 87). The Nuggets responded with 21 assists and 7 steals, while bringing down 38 rebounds (12 offensive and 26 defensive) and registering 5 blocks. At the charity stripe, Denver converted 85.7%, hitting 24 out of 28 attempts, and made 6 out of 28 attempts from three-point range. Both teams committed 22 personal fouls during the contest.
Ayo Dosunmu had a standout performance, recording 43 points on 13 of 17 shooting. He logged 42 minutes on the floor and secured 4 rebounds, finishing the game with an outstanding 76.5% shooting percentage and contributing 1 assist.
The Timberwolves hold a 49-33 record this season. They average 14.8 turnovers per game and commit 21.2 personal fouls. As a team, Minnesota grabs 44.1 rebounds per game and has dished out 2,138 assists, ranking them 16th in the league for passing efficiency. The Timberwolves shoot 37.0% from three-point range (1,128 out of 3,049) and 75.2% from the free-throw line. They average 118.0 points per contest, placing 7th in the NBA, while shooting 48.1% overall.
Defensively, the Timberwolves create 15.0 turnovers per game, while also committing 20.5 fouls. They allow 35.5% shooting from three-point range and are 12th in the league for points allowed per game (114.6). Their defense permits an overall field goal percentage of 46.2% (3,395 of 7,352) and they give up an average of 43.7 rebounds per game as a team. They rank 10th in the NBA for assists allowed, having surrendered 2,136 this season.
The Nuggets struggled to capitalize on Minnesota’s injuries in Game 4. In rebounding, Denver allowed Minnesota to collect 50 boards (16 offensive). Denver shot 36.0% from three-point range, making 9 out of 25 attempts, and achieved 96.2% from the free-throw line, converting 25 out of 26 attempts. The Nuggets permitted the Timberwolves to shoot 39 of 89 (43.8%) from the field, while they managed to hit 33 of 87 (37.9%). From beyond the arc, Denver scored 6 of 28 (21.4%). They also made 24 free throws out of 28 attempts, which brought them to the line numerous times due to 22 fouls from the Timberwolves. Denver committed 10 turnovers, while collecting 7 steals and gathering a total of 38 rebounds with 12 offensive boards.
Jamal Murray played a pivotal role for the Nuggets, amassing 30 points in 42 minutes and tallying 5 assists. He scored 10 of 25 attempts for a shooting percentage of 40.0%, while also grabbing 5 rebounds.
The Nuggets bring a 54-28 record this season. They commit 19.1 fouls per game and maintain an impressive 80.8% free-throw shooting rate. Denver assists on 29.0 baskets per game (4th in the league) while averaging 12.9 turnovers. They have scored 10,010 points this year, averaging 122.1 points per game, and secure 44.0 rebounds on average. Offensively, the Nuggets shoot 49.6% from the field, making them the 2nd-best shooting team in the league.
Defensively, the Nuggets allow 34.9% shooting on three-point attempts (1,119 of 3,208) and limit opponents to 77.1% on free throws. They give up an average of 27.5 assists and 42.8 rebounds per game, ranking 20th and 9th in the league, respectively. The Nuggets are currently 21st in the NBA in points allowed per game at 116.9. They force an average of 11.8 turnovers per game, while allowing teams to shoot 46.8% from the field (13th in the league).
Who will come out on top in today’s NBA game against the spread?
Prediction: Take Minnesota (+10.0)
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