- Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: Arizona (+150) Milwaukee (-182)
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At American Family Field, the Milwaukee Brewers (14-13) will challenge the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-12) on Tuesday. The betting odds indicate Arizona at +150 and Milwaukee opening at -182. The total runs set for this game is 8. Merrill Kelly and Chad Patrick will be the starting pitchers for their respective teams.

This season, the Diamondbacks have amassed 54 doubles and hit 27 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .426, they have struck out 209 times while drawing 70 walks. Offensively, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game, placing them 7th in the league. They’ve achieved 126 RBIs from 230 hits, sporting a .255 batting average. Their team has piled up 132 runs and holds an on-base percentage of .310.
The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff holds a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.32. They have conceded 37 home runs and a total of 137 runs (ranking 23rd in MLB). Arizona has allowed 232 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 121 earned runs. This season, the team has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.53, placing them 24th in the league, while the staff has struck out 204 batters. The pitchers have issued 86 walks and maintain a collective FIP of 4.62 thus far.
Throughout the season, the Diamondbacks have utilized 97 relievers. These relievers have inherited 35 runners, with 31.4% scoring. The bullpen has recorded 23 holds (leading MLB). In high-pressure situations, Diamondbacks pitchers have faced opponents on base 25 times, with 42 high-leverage appearances. They have achieved 9 saves, yet have blown 6 out of 15 save opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 60.0% in 39 save situations.
Defensively, the Diamondbacks have converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs, ranking 14th in the majors. With 721 putouts, 239 assists, and 15 errors, their fielding percentage stands at .985, positioning them 16th in baseball. They have executed 18 double plays this season.
Merrill Kelly has pitched for 1,017 innings, accumulating 919 strikeouts in his career. He boasts an ERA of 3.82, allowing 432 earned runs, and holds a career WHIP of 1.208. Kelly has permitted 922 hits (8.2 per nine innings) along with 307 walks. With a career record of 66-54 and a FIP of 3.76, he has faced 4,193 batters in the MLB.
The Milwaukee Brewers bring a team on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .231 this season. They have struck out 225 times (20th in the league) and achieved 206 hits. Additionally, they have recorded 19 home runs and 127 RBIs. The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .349 and average 4.89 runs per game, ranking 8th in the MLB, with 40 doubles and 132 runs scored.
On the mound, the Milwaukee pitching staff has given up 113 runs this season and carries a team ERA of 3.82 (102 earned runs). They have allowed 24 home runs and concede 4.24 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). With a WHIP of 1.299 and a FIP of 3.73, their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.40 (250 strikeouts vs 100 walks), making them 8th in MLB for hits allowed with 212 total.
Milwaukee ranks 16th in MLB with a save rate of 61.5%. The team has used 92 bullpen pitchers so far this season. Their relievers have made 33 high-leverage appearances and have pitched with runners on base 26 times. In 29 save opportunities, the Brewers have recorded 16 holds and experienced 5 blown saves. They have secured 8 saves out of 13 opportunities, with a 42.9% inherited score percentage from 42 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Brewers have turned 21 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in baseball). They have achieved 229 assists, 13 errors, and 721 putouts this season. Over 2,163 innings of play, they have a defensive efficiency rate of 69.0% (21st in baseball).
Chad Patrick, in his professional career, has given up 134 hits while tallying 138 strikeouts over 142 innings. With 53 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.280, he features a FIP of 3.3. Patrick boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.88, facing 597 batters in total, and holds a career mark of 4-9 with an ERA of 3.35 while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, either against the spread or the moneyline?
Expert Pick: Take Arizona (+150)
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