Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 4/29/2026 Preview and Pick

Home » Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 4/29/2026 Preview and Pick
Matchup: Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
  • Venue: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
  • Broadcast: ESPN
  • Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+8.5)

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (52-30) are set to face off against the Toronto Raptors (46-36) at Rocket Arena for Game 5 of their first-round series, with the matchup tied at 2-2. Cleveland enters this game as 8.5-point favorites, with the total set at 215.5 points.

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The Raptors equalized the series with a 93-89 victory in Game 4. Toronto committed 19 personal fouls, while the Cavaliers were whistled for 27. The Raptors made 10 of 40 attempts from beyond the arc, achieving a 32.0% field goal percentage on 31 of 97 attempts. On the other hand, Cleveland shot 65.2% from the free-throw line, converting 15 of 23 attempts, and secured 56 rebounds (16 offensive, 40 defensive) along with 8 blocked shots. The Cavaliers registered 15 assists and 5 steals for the game. Defensively, Toronto limited Cleveland to a shooting percentage of 36.8% on 32 of 87 attempts, while forcing 18 turnovers and tallying 11 steals. Toronto’s rebounding efforts yielded 59 boards, including 21 on the offensive end, and they converted 27 of 36 free throws for a 75.0% success rate.

Scottie Barnes was a standout player in the last game, contributing 23 points on 6 of 15 shooting over 42 minutes and grabbing 9 rebounds. He finished with a 40.0% field goal percentage and added 6 assists to his tally.

The Raptors are currently sitting at a win-loss record of 46-36 for the season. Averaging 114.6 points per game (21st in the league), they shoot 48.2% from the field. Toronto successfully makes 35.4% of their three-point attempts (932 of 2,633) and converts 76.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, they grab an average of 42.1 rebounds per game and have recorded a total of 2,417 assists this season, ranking 3rd in the league for passing. Their turnover rate stands at 13.7 per game, while they commit around 20.9 fouls per match.

On defense, the Raptors force 16.1 turnovers per game and commit 19.8 fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 34.9% from beyond the arc and rank 9th in the league for points allowed per game (111.8). Toronto’s defensive efficiency permits an opponent field goal percentage of 46.7% (3,289 of 7,047), and they concede an average of 42.9 rebounds per game. The Raptors also rank 2nd in the NBA for assists given up, allowing a total of 2,006 this season.

The Cavaliers struggled in Game 4, securing 40 defensive and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 56. They committed 18 turnovers and managed just 5 steals in the game. The Raptors’ 19 personal fouls allowed Cleveland to reach the free-throw line 23 times, from which they made 15 shots at a 65.2% clip. Cleveland converted 10 of 40 three-point attempts (25.0%) and shot overall 36.8% from the floor on 32 of 87 attempts. The Cavaliers allowed Toronto to shoot 32.0% from the field, as the Raptors made 31 of 97 attempts. Cleveland allowed 59 total rebounds to Toronto, with 21 coming from the offensive end.

Donovan Mitchell played a crucial role for the Cavaliers, scoring 20 points on 6 of 24 shooting (25.0%), recording 6 rebounds and 3 assists in 37 minutes.

Currently, the Cavaliers hold a 52-30 record for the season. Offensively, they shoot 48.2% from the field, ranking 8th in the NBA. Cleveland has scored a total of 9,801 points this season (119.5 per game) and averages 44.4 rebounds per game. Their 28.3 assists per contest rank 8th in the league, with a turnover average of 14.0 per game. Cleveland commits 19.6 fouls per game and converts 77.6% of their free-throw attempts.

Defensively, the Cavaliers concede 37.2% on three-point shots (1,163 of 3,127), and opponents convert 79.4% of their free throws. The Cavaliers allow 26.9 assists and 43.2 rebounds per game, ranking 16th and 12th in the league, respectively. They are rated 15th in points allowed per game with 115.4. On defense, they force opponents into 15.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the field (8th overall in the league).

Which team will emerge victorious tonight against the spread?

Recommendation: Bet on Cleveland (-8.5)

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Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers (-8.5)
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