- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (+106) New York (-128)
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On Friday, the New York Yankees (20-11) are set to host the Baltimore Orioles (14-15) at Yankee Stadium. The current betting odds show the Orioles at +106 and the Yankees at -128, with the over/under total set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup will be Cade Povich and Will Warren.
This season, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league. With a total of 130 runs scored, their on-base percentage stands at .321. The team has recorded 49 doubles and hit 35 home runs, accumulating 129 RBIs alongside 232 hits for a batting average of .240. The Orioles’ slugging percentage is .401, and they have 265 strikeouts against 111 walks so far this year.
The Orioles have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.47, with their pitching staff collectively holding a WHIP of 1.40. Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 34 home runs and 143 runs total (ranked 22nd in the league). They’ve given up 259 hits (averaging 9.0 per 9 innings) and 123 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.28, which ranks 20th. The staff has struck out 252 batters while walking 102, with a FIP of 4.19 overall.
This season, the Orioles have employed 100 relievers. Their bullpen has inherited 36 runners, of which 13.9% have scored. They have secured 19 holds this year (13th in the league) and have faced 26 situations with runners on base as well as 36 in crucial moments. Baltimore’s relievers have achieved 10 saves out of 13 opportunities, giving them a save percentage of 76.9% across 33 save situations.
Defensively, the Orioles have recorded 776 putouts, 256 assists, and 18 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). They have turned 24 double plays and converted 67.4% of chances into outs throughout 2,328 innings, putting them 28th in the league.
Povich has logged 204 innings with a total of 194 strikeouts in his MLB career. With a 7-17 record, his FIP stands at 4.95, having faced 888 batters. Povich’s career ERA is 5.03, allowing 114 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.440, having conceded 214 hits (averaging 9.4 hits per nine innings) along with 80 walks.
The New York Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .424, averaging 4.94 runs per game (7th in the league). They have recorded 46 doubles, drawn 138 walks, and scored 153 runs. With 48 home runs, they hold 145 RBIs while striking out 279 times (8th in MLB) and totaling 232 hits. Currently, the Yankees feature an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .229.
As a staff, the Yankees hold a WHIP of 1.138 with a FIP of 3.47 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.80 (268 strikeouts to 85 walks), ranking 5th in MLB for total hits allowed with 227. They have given up 26 home runs and allow just 3.48 runs per nine innings (3rd overall). New York’s pitching staff has permitted 106 runs in 2023, with a team ERA of 3.12 (95 earned runs allowed).
The Yankees rank 15th in save percentage at 64.3%, and have called upon 96 relievers this season. Their bullpen has entered high leverage situations 30 times and faced runners on base 31 occasions, securing 14 holds and experiencing 5 blown saves. They have had relievers in 14 save opportunities, achieving success in 9 instances, with a percentage of 31.1% of inherited runners scoring across 45 inherited base runners.
Defensively, the Yankees have executed 21 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). They have accumulated 284 assists, 16 errors, and a total of 824 putouts this season. The Yankees boast a defensive efficiency of 71.3%, ranking 7th in Major League Baseball with 2,472 innings played.
Warren has allowed 220 hits in his MLB career, tallying 237 strikeouts over 216 innings pitched. With a record of 12-11, he has an earned run average of 4.79 and permits 9.2 hits per 9 innings. Warren has conceded 115 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.398 and a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.89 after facing 950 opposing hitters.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Take Baltimore (+106)
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