Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Insights, 5/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Insights, 5/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
  • Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
  • Betting Odds: Los Angeles (-150) St. Louis (+125)

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The St. Louis Cardinals (17-13) are set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-11) at Busch Stadium this Friday. The current betting odds list Los Angeles at -150 while St. Louis sits at +125, with the over/under set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup include Emmet Sheehan for the Dodgers and Matthew Liberatore for the Cardinals.

MLB Predictions and Best Bets for Los Angeles Dodgers

As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers average 5.4 runs per game, ranking 4th in MLB. With a total of 167 runs scored, they maintain a team on-base percentage of .350. The Dodgers have hit 51 doubles and 45 home runs, accumulating 159 RBIs and 286 hits, while boasting a batting average of .273. Their slugging percentage stands at .452, with 249 strikeouts and 122 walks this season.

The Dodgers currently hold a team ERA of 3.19, placing them 3rd in the MLB. Their pitching staff has struck out 277 batters and allowed 27 home runs along with 101 runs, leading the league. They have issued 97 walks, with a FIP of 3.57 throughout the season. Allowing 210 hits (6.9 per 9 innings) and 97 earned runs, the team is boasting a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and a collective WHIP of 1.12.

Dodgers pitchers have faced runners on base 18 times and have appeared in 30 high-pressure situations. The bullpen has achieved 16 holds this year (18th in baseball) with a save conversion rate of 58.3%, entering 28 save opportunities and successfully saving 7 while failing 5 out of 12 times. Relief pitchers have inherited 32 base runners in 2023, with 25.0% scoring. The Dodgers have used 94 relievers throughout the season.

Defensively, the Dodgers convert 73.1% of balls in play into outs across 2,466 innings, ranking 2nd in the majors. They’ve recorded 822 putouts, 256 assists, and only 10 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .991 to secure the 4th spot in professional baseball, alongside 20 double plays.

Emmet Sheehan, with a career record of 12-4, has a FIP of 3.90 and has faced 649 batters during his MLB tenure. He has allowed 119 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and 57 walks, achieving an ERA of 3.95 (70 ER allowed) and a WHIP of 1.105. Over 159 innings pitched, he has tallied 181 strikeouts in his career.

The St. Louis Cardinals, this season, possess a team OBP of .324 along with a batting average of .235. They rank 15th in the league with 253 strikeouts and have tallied 236 hits, along with 39 home runs and 142 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .397, averaging 4.83 runs per game (9th in MLB). Additionally, the Cardinals have recorded 43 doubles and taken 114 walks, contributing to a total of 145 runs.

With a team WHIP of 1.424, the Cardinals have a FIP of 4.71 for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 6.90, representing 209 strikeouts versus 112 walks. They rank 26th in total hits surrendered with 274, allowing 36 home runs and 5.08 runs per nine innings (25th overall in MLB). St. Louis has yielded 153 runs this season, giving them a team ERA of 4.75 (143 earned runs). They currently rank 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.7%, deploying 111 relief pitchers thus far. The bullpen has seen action in 42 high-leverage situations and entered 35 times with runners on base, with 42 save opportunities leading to 24 holds and 6 blown saves. They have recorded 11 saves out of 17 save chances with an inherited scoring rate of 38.5% from 52 runners.

Across 2,439 innings played, the Cardinals maintain a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (17th in professional baseball). They have executed 25 double plays with a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors), contributing 813 putouts, 304 assists, and 16 errors thus far.

In his MLB career, Matthew Liberatore has given up 383 hits while earning 291 strikeouts in 364 innings. He holds a career record of 16-25 with an ERA of 4.65, allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 188 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.387 and a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.39 after facing 1,577 batters over his career.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Back St. Louis (+125)

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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Insights (+125)
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