Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, August 22, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
Betting Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Atlanta (+150)
On Friday, the Atlanta Braves (58-69) are set to take on the New York Mets (67-59) at Truist Park. The betting odds favor the Mets at -182 while the Braves are positioned at +150. The game total is established at 8 runs. Clay Holmes and Joey Wentz are the starting pitchers for this matchup.

This season, the Mets have recorded 199 doubles and 160 home runs. They maintain a slugging percentage of .415 and have struck out 1,001 times while drawing 426 walks. New York averages 4.5 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league. So far, they have gathered 539 RBIs and 1,008 hits, with a batting average of .244 and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .321.
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The Mets hold a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.78 this season (ranked 7th in MLB) and have accumulated 1,059 strikeouts. They have allowed 115 home runs and 518 runs total (10th in baseball). Their pitchers have issued 446 walks, with a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 3.93. New York has conceded 1,004 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and given up 462 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.37, while the overall WHIP stands at 1.32.
The Mets’ bullpen has a save rate of 62.1%, engaging in 138 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 197 runners this season, with 34.5% scoring. Mets relievers have entered with runners on base 133 times, facing 155 high-leverage situations. Overall, 408 relief pitchers have been used this season, leading to 80 holds (7th in MLB) and 36 saves, failing to convert on 22 of 58 save chances.
With 9,900 total innings played, the Mets have converted 69.5% of balls hit in play into outs, ranking 18th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have recorded a season total of 3,300 putouts, 1,118 assists, and 59 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB) alongside 91 double plays.
Holmes has pitched 468 innings, striking out 465 batters throughout his career. Holes has a career win-loss record of 34-28, a FIP of 3.64, and has faced 2,021 opposing batters. His current ERA stands at 3.69 (having allowed 192 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.314. He has given up 409 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) alongside issuing 206 walks.
The Atlanta Braves present a team OBP of .320 and a batting average of .244 for the 2025 season. They have been struck out 1,087 times (8th in the league), while totaling 1,040 hits. The Braves have recorded 141 home runs and garnered 526 RBIs. They maintain a slugging percentage of .394, averaging 4.36 runs per game (16th in the league), with 187 doubles and 451 walks, amounting to a total of 545 runs.
The Braves’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 4.13 for the current season. They rank 15th in overall hits allowed with 1,017 while conceding 557 runs, thereby arriving at a team ERA of 4.29 (including 527 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (1,095 strikeouts against 419 walks), having permitted 146 home runs while yielding 4.53 runs per nine innings (19th in MLB).
Atlanta’s relievers have inherited runs scoring 38.5% of the time from 169 inherited base runners. Their bullpen has stepped up in 128 high-leverage scenarios and entered 127 times with runners already on base. The Braves have had 93 save chances this season, resulting in 54 holds and 16 blown saves. Their save percentage of 59.0% ranks them 21st in baseball, with 402 relievers utilized thus far.
With 9,960 innings played, the Braves’ defensive efficiency stands at 70.0% (14th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have successfully turned 84 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in baseball). They also have a total of 1,073 assists, 44 errors, and 3,320 putouts this season.
Wentz holds a career record of 10-20 with an ERA of 5.37, allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. He holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.06, facing 1,228 batters in his career. He has permitted 163 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.492 with a FIP of 5.3. Wentz has given up 283 hits, achieving 257 strikeouts over 273 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Go with Atlanta (+150)
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