- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-160), Miami (+132)
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On Saturday, the Miami Marlins (15-16) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (12-19) at LoanDepot Park. The betting lines place Philadelphia at -160 and Miami at +132, with a total of 8 runs anticipated. The projected starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Max Meyer.
The Phillies have recorded 43 doubles this season and hit 33 home runs. They maintain a slugging percentage of .376 and have struck out 249 times while walking 101. Collectively, the Philadelphia Phillies average 3.8 runs per game, positioning them 28th in the league. They have amassed 116 RBIs and 238 hits, leading to a team batting average of .227. The team has tallied 118 runs with an on-base percentage of .302.
The Phillies boast a K/BB ratio of 2.97, and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.48. They have surrendered 31 home runs and allowed a total of 163 runs (27th in MLB). Philadelphia has given up 309 hits (10.1 per 9 innings) and 148 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.84 (27th in MLB) while recording 291 strikeouts. Their FIP is calculated at 3.68 for the season.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have faced players on base 36 times and have participated in 26 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has accumulated 10 holds this season (28th in the league). Their save percentage stands at 55.6%, with 19 save opportunities. The relief unit has made 5 successful saves out of 9 attempts, and they inherited 45 runners, of which 33.3% scored. This season, the Phillies have utilized 114 relievers.
Defensively, the Phillies have converted 63.7% of balls in play into outs, ranking 30th in MLB. They recorded 826 putouts, 274 assists, and 18 errors this season, leading to a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in the majors). The team has achieved 17 double plays.
Wheeler holds a career record of 113-75 with a FIP of 3.23, having faced 7,106 hitters. He has allowed 1,478 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and issued 493 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.28 (632 ERs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.137. Across 1,733 innings, Wheeler has tallied 1,826 strikeouts in his MLB journey.
The Miami Marlins have achieved an on-base percentage of .331 and a team batting average of .250 this season. They have struck out 251 times (18th in MLB) and collected 257 hits. The Marlins have recorded 23 home runs and 129 RBIs, with a team slugging percentage of .381, averaging 4.35 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have hit 49 doubles and earned 112 walks, scoring 135 runs.
As a team, the Marlins’ WHIP is 1.276, and their FIP is 3.98. They maintain a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (259 strikeouts to 118 walks), ranking 5th in MLB for total hits allowed at 228. They have allowed 27 home runs and yield 4.45 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). This season, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 134 runs with an ERA of 3.92 (118 earned runs).
The Marlins’ relief corps has an inherited scoring percentage of 31.4% from their 35 inherited base runners. Their bullpen has been utilized in 31 high-leverage situations, with 23 occasions featuring runners on base. With 37 save opportunities, Miami’s bullpen has secured 20 holds, along with 6 blown saves, and they have a save percentage of 62.5% (14th in the league), sending 95 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have executed 17 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in MLB). They have achieved 244 assists, committed 22 errors, and recorded 815 putouts this season. With 2,445 innings played, the Marlins exhibit a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (8th in MLB).
Meyer, with a career record of 7-11, has a 4.92 ERA, allowing 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He holds a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and has faced 691 batters. Meyer has permitted 86 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.387 and a FIP of 4.8. Throughout his career, he has allowed 165 hits while accumulating 153 strikeouts over 157 innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Choose Miami (+132)
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