Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
Date: Friday, August 22, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Odds: Boston (+150) New York (-182)
The New York Yankees (69-57) are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox (68-59) at Yankee Stadium this Friday. The moneyline stands with Boston at +150, while New York is favored at -182. The total score is projected at 8.5 runs. Expected starters for this matchup include Brayan Bello and Max Fried.
This season, the Red Sox have recorded 257 doubles and hit 151 home runs. They boast a slugging percentage of .426 and have struck out 1,116 times while earning 407 walks. On average, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.0 runs per game, ranking 4th in the league. They have amassed 603 RBIs and 1,090 hits, with an overall batting average of .253. Their total runs stand at 629, complemented by an on-base percentage of .323.
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The Red Sox have an earned run average (ERA) of 3.76 this season, ranking 6th in MLB, while their pitchers have struck out 1,028 batters. They have allowed 129 home runs and given up a total of 538 runs (16th in the league). The pitching team has issued 413 walks, and their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) stands at 4.04. Boston has allowed 1,050 hits (an average of 8.4 per 9 innings) and a total of 471 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.49 and a WHIP (Walks and Hits per Innings Pitched) of 1.30.
This season, 409 relief pitchers have stepped on the mound for the Red Sox. The bullpen has inherited 169 runners, with 30.2% scoring. They have achieved 33 saves from 56 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 58.9%. Red Sox relievers have recorded 65 holds (ranking 21st in the league) and have appeared in 123 save situations. They have had a total of 126 instances where relief pitchers entered with runners already on base, including 150 high-leverage moments.
Boston’s defense has converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs across 10,143 innings, placing them at 24th in Major League Baseball. The Baltimore Orioles, for comparison, have successful putouts of 3,381 along with 1,162 assists and 97 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in MLB). They have turned 103 double plays this season.
Bello holds a career win-loss record of 37-33, with a FIP of 4.06 after facing 2,176 batters. He has allowed 513 hits (9.2 per nine innings) and issued 181 free passes. His earned run average is at 4.12 (with 231 earned runs allowed), and his career WHIP stands at 1.376. Bello has pitched 504 innings, recording 437 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Yankees have tallied 195 home runs this season alongside 611 RBIs. They achieved 202 doubles and drawn 481 walks, accumulating a total of 636 runs. The New York Yankees boast an on-base percentage of .330 with a batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage is .446, resulting in an average of 5.13 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been struck out 1,081 times (ranking 9th in the league) and have recorded 1,050 total hits.
New York’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.254 and a team FIP of 4.05. They possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.00 (with 1,104 strikeouts and 429 walks). They rank 3rd in total hits allowed with 948. The team has surrendered 140 home runs and allows 4.40 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Yankees pitching staff has given up a total of 537 runs this season, holding an ERA of 4.02 (491 earned runs).
In 126 save situations, the Yankees’ relievers have earned 75 holds and experienced 17 blown saves. They have put their relief pitchers into 50 save opportunities, resulting in 33 successful saves. The bullpen has been called to pitch in 124 high-leverage situations and 135 instances with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage stands at 26.5% out of 200 inherited runners, placing them 8th in save percentage at 66.0%. The Yankees have utilized 415 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Yankees have turned 81 double plays this season and maintain a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). The team has accumulated 1,050 assists, with 69 errors, and recorded a total of 3,296 putouts across 9,888 innings played, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (6th in the majors).
Fried, with an impressive career record of 86-41, holds an ERA of 3.10, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.55 and has faced 4,231 batters. Over his career, he has given up 356 earned runs, owning a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.1. Throughout his professional career, Fried has allowed 913 hits and has achieved 1,004 strikeouts in 1,033 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown—will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Boston (+150)
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