- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee Network
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds (+106) | Chicago Cubs (-128)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Cincinnati Reds (20-13) are set to visit Wrigley Field this Monday to take on the Chicago Cubs (21-12). The current line features Cincinnati at +106, while Chicago stands at -128. The over/under is established at 9 runs. Pitchers for the game include Chase Petty and Edward Cabrera.
The Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 20th in the league. They have registered 141 total runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .307. The team has recorded 48 doubles and 44 home runs this season, with 130 RBIs and 240 hits, resulting in a batting average of .220. Their slugging percentage is .388, having struck out 307 times while drawing 131 walks.
The Reds’ pitching staff holds a K/BB ratio of 1.66, with a collective WHIP of 1.52. So far, Reds’ pitchers have allowed 36 home runs and given up 162 total runs (ranking 22nd in MLB). With 292 hits allowed (averaging 8.9 per 9 innings) and 151 earned runs, Cincinnati’s team ERA stands at 4.59 (24th in MLB). They have struck out 261 batters while issuing 157 walks, resulting in a team FIP of 4.71 this season.
This season, Reds pitchers have entered games with runners on base 35 times, with 41 high-leverage appearances. Their relief pitchers have recorded 25 holds (3rd in the league) and hold a save rate of 66.7% across 41 save situations, converting 10 saves while missing 5 out of 15 opportunities. They have faced 52 inherited runners, with 25% scoring. The Reds have utilized 126 relievers this season.
Cincinnati has amassed 888 putouts, 282 assists, and 14 errors, resulting in a .988 fielding percentage, ranking 7th in the majors. The team has successfully turned 33 double plays, converting 68.9% of balls in play into outs over 2,664 innings, which is 23rd across professional baseball.
Chase Petty has pitched 6 innings in his professional career with 7 strikeouts. Holding a career record of 0-3, Petty’s FIP currently sits at 19.21 against 40 MLB batters. His earned run average is at 19.50 (13 earned runs), coupled with a 3.667 WHIP. He has yielded 14 hits (averaging 21.0 hits per 9 innings) while walking 8 batters.
The Chicago Cubs have a slugging percentage of .425 and score an impressive 5.36 runs per game, placing them 2nd in the league. They have accumulated 51 doubles, drawn 149 walks, and scored 177 runs. With 43 home runs and 161 RBIs, they have struck out 269 times (18th in MLB) and recorded a batting average of .258 with 292 hits. Their on-base percentage rests at .350.
On the pitching side, the Cubs have allowed 139 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.89 (yielding 127 earned runs). They have given up 37 home runs and allow an average of 4.26 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). Their team WHIP stands at 1.177, with a team FIP of 4.04. Chicago’s pitchers have posted a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (270 strikeouts versus 97 walks), ranking 7th in MLB for total hits allowed (249).
In save situations, Cubs’ relief pitchers have notched 7 holds and faced 5 blown saves. They have entered the game during 13 save opportunities, achieving 8 saves. Chicago’s relief pitchers have a 33.3% inherited score rate from 45 inherited runners and have participated in 32 high-leverage situations as well as 33 with runners on base. Their overall save percentage is 61.5%, ranking them 15th in MLB, with 95 relievers utilized this season.
The Cubs have executed 21 double plays and maintain a .986 fielding percentage (17th in MLB). They have accrued 295 assists, registered 17 errors, and completed 882 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 72.1% over 2,646 innings, ranking them 4th in professional baseball.
Cabrera (28-29 career record) currently holds a 4.00 earned run average, allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.22, having faced 1,988 batters in his MLB career. With 207 earned runs on his record, Cabrera’s WHIP is 1.302 and his FIP is 3.90. Throughout his career, Cabrera has allowed 379 hits and recorded 507 strikeouts across 466 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cincinnati at (+106)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
