Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins
Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Toronto (-144) Miami (+120)
The Toronto Blue Jays (74-54) are set to face the Miami Marlins (60-67) at loanDepot park this Saturday. The moneyline favors the Blue Jays at -144, while the Marlins sit at +120. The over/under for this contest is set at 8 runs. Expect to see pitchers Jose Berrios and Eury Perez on the mound.
This season, the Toronto Blue Jays rank 7th in Major League Baseball, scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game. They have registered a total of 617 runs with a .338 on-base percentage. The team boasts 227 doubles and 148 home runs, amassing 593 RBIs and 1,155 hits, resulting in a batting average of .268. Their slugging percentage is .429, and the team has struck out 848 times while drawing 413 walks.
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The Blue Jays’ pitching staff has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.24, ranking them 22nd in MLB. They have struck out 1,111 players, allowed 170 home runs, and given up a total of 567 runs. With 404 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.36. This season, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 1,008 hits (8.1 per nine innings) with 526 of those being earned runs, leading to a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.27.
Blue Jays’ relief pitchers have entered with runners on base 129 times, appearing in high leverage situations 125 times. They have secured 75 holds (11th in MLB) and converted 64.8% of save opportunities, with 35 saves out of 132 chances. This season, 29.8% of inherited base runners have scored, with a total of 434 relief appearances.
Defensively, Toronto has converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs, placing them 12th in the league. The squad has 3,350 putouts, 939 assists, and 70 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .984, which ranks 24th in MLB. They have successfully executed 88 double plays.
Jose Berrios has pitched for 1,551 innings, accumulating 1,464 strikeouts in his MLB career. With a career record of 108-82, he possesses a FIP of 4.01 after facing 6,520 batters. Berrios has a 4.07 ERA (allowing 701 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.238, permitting 1,454 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 466 walks.
On the other side, the Miami Marlins average 4.31 runs per game (19th in the league) with a slugging percentage of .397. They have 210 doubles, 376 walks, and have scored 539 runs. The Marlins have hit 123 home runs and recorded 517 RBIs, while striking out 978 times (25th in the league) and accumulating 1,072 hits. Their OBP stands at .315, complemented by a .251 batting average this season.
The Marlins boast a team WHIP of 1.301 and a staff FIP of 4.15. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (985 strikeouts to 386 walks), ranking them 22nd in terms of total hits allowed at 1,053. They have conceded 137 home runs and average 4.90 runs per nine innings (24th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff has given up 602 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.55.
This season, Miami’s bullpen has been involved in 49 save situations, achieving 30 saves, resulting in a 61.2% save rate, placing them 19th in MLB. They have dispatched 385 bullpen pitchers this season, with their relievers engaging in high-leverage situations 132 times and facing runners on base 93 times. With 116 save opportunities, Miami earned 66 holds, along with 19 blown saves.
Defensively, the Marlins have executed 84 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in MLB). They have accumulated 1,063 assists, made 62 errors, and recorded 3,319 putouts. Miami’s defensive efficiency stands at 69.8% over 9,957 innings played.
Eury Perez, with a career record of 10-9, has a 3.30 ERA and allows 6.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.16, having faced 632 batters in his baseball career. Perez has given up 57 earned runs, registering a WHIP of 1.082 and a FIP of 3.3. Throughout his career, Perez has permitted 113 hits and achieved 174 strikeouts over 155 innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Miami (+120)
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