Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Location: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
TV: FanDuel Sports Network South
Odds/Point Spread: New York Mets (-145) Atlanta Braves (+125)
On Saturday, the Atlanta Braves (58-69) welcome the New York Mets (67-59) to Truist Park. The current moneyline reflects the Mets at -145, while the Braves are listed at +125. The projected game total is set at 8 runs. Starting for the Mets will be Clay Holmes, and Erick Fedde is on the mound for Atlanta.
The New York Mets boast a slugging percentage of .415 and have recorded 1,001 strikeouts while drawing 426 walks this season. They have achieved 533 RBIs and 1,008 hits, with an average batting score of .244. The Mets have smacked 199 doubles and launched 160 home runs, accumulating a total of 554 runs scored. Their on-base percentage stands at .321, and they average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 13th in Major League Baseball.
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The Mets exhibit a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.37, while their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.32. This season, Mets pitchers have given up 115 home runs and 518 runs, placing them 10th in the league. They have allowed 1,004 hits (averaging 8.2 per nine innings) and 462 earned runs, with a team ERA of 3.78 (7th overall) and have struck out 1,059 batters. Their pitchers have walked 446 opposing hitters, leading to a team FIP of 3.93.
The Mets’ relief pitchers have a save success rate of 62.1%, participating in 138 save opportunities. They have inherited 197 base runners, with 34.5% of those allowed to score. Mets relief arms have come into action with base runners 133 times and have been utilized in high-leverage situations 155 times. Throughout the season, the Mets have employed 408 relievers, achieving 80 holds (7th in MLB) and converting 36 of 58 save attempts, with 22 blown saves.
Defensively, the Mets have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs across 9,900 innings, ranking them 18th in MLB. They lead the Minnesota Twins in total putouts with 3,300, alongside 1,118 assists and 59 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the league) and executing 91 double plays.
Pitcher Clay Holmes has amassed 468 innings in his MLB career, recording 465 strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 34-28, Holmes has a FIP of 3.64 while facing 2,021 hitters. His career ERA stands at 3.69 with a WHIP of 1.314, allowing 409 hits and issuing 206 walks.
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Braves have a slugging percentage of .394, averaging 4.36 runs per game (16th in the league). They have racked up 187 doubles, drawn 451 walks, and scored 545 runs. The Braves have hit 141 home runs this season, resulting in 526 RBIs. They have struck out 1,087 times (8th in MLB) and achieved 1,040 hits. The Braves’ team on-base percentage is .320, with a batting average of .244 for the year.
As a team, the Braves’ pitching staff records a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 4.13. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.90 (1,095 strikeouts against 419 walks). They rank 15th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,017 hits given up this year, including 146 home runs. Atlanta has surrendered 4.53 runs per nine innings (19th in MLB) and a total of 557 runs with an overall ERA of 4.29 (527 earned runs).
With 93 save opportunities, the Braves have achieved 54 holds and experienced 16 blown saves. In 39 save chances, Atlanta’s relief pitchers have secured 23 saves. The bullpen has appeared in high-leverage situations 128 times and 127 times with runners aboard. With an inherited score rate of 38.5% from 169 inherited runners, Atlanta ranks 21st in the league with a save percentage of 59.0%, having deployed 402 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Braves have executed 84 double plays and maintain an impressive fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). They have 1,073 assists, 44 errors, and 3,320 putouts over the course of the season. Atlanta’s defensive efficiency stands at 70.0% (14th in professional baseball) following their 9,960 innings of play.
In his career, Fedde has allowed 780 hits and accumulated 581 strikeouts in 751 innings pitched. He has permitted 412 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.439 and a FIP of 4.9. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is currently at 1.93, and he has faced 3,270 opposing batters with a career win-loss record of 34-54 and an ERA of 4.93, allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s thrilling MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Take Atlanta (+125)
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